Dec 27, 2017

Stock Market: Expensive, Complacency

The market has never been this expensive while at the same time so few people are worried that it might go down. (Select Sector Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF), Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ))

Dec 26, 2017

The Next Recession

Recessions have been happening for quite some time and you know the next one is long overdue and I do think that the enthusiasm surrounding the tax cuts and the gains in the market could well extend  the period between now and the next recession but I don't think it will extend it long enough for Trump to be reelected.

Dec 22, 2017

Bitcoin Is Going To Crash Down

I am sure that it is a bubble, in fact it's probably the biggest bubble I've ever seen in my career as an investor and I've seen quite a few bubbles and I'm familiar with this psychology that surrounds them.

And you know Bitcoin has all of the characteristics of a bubble, in fact it's not just Bitcoin it's the entire cryptocurrency space. I think it's a massive speculative bubble and maybe we've seen the top and maybe we haven't I don't know but I think when the top is in this thing is gonna come crashing down, it's not just gonna go down slowly. You know there's an expression that markets take the stairs up and the elevator down, well you know Bitcoin took a rocket ship up and it's gonna come down even faster.

Dec 21, 2017

2018 Outlook: Gold, Bitcoin



"If people earn more money because central banks create more money they use their additional incomes to bid up prices for everything so I think a lot of prices are gonna be rising not just the price of gold." 

"I do believe as more people perceive the threat of inflation and see the dangers of what the central banks have been doing I think the price of gold will rise faster than a lot of other prices as people embrace it as a hedge against inflation and as a store of value."


Dec 20, 2017

Bitcoin Bulls Are Going To Get Slaughtered

Bitcoin keeps going up, we are at in 17,000 today and look how big can the bubble get? I don't know. I mean I'm not that smart. I'm smart enough to know what is a bubble but I'm not smart enough to know where the peak is but there's an old saying, Bulls make money, Bears make money and pigs get slaughtered. And there are a lot of Bitcoin pigs I believe who are gonna get slaughtered so if you happen to own some Bitcoin and you bought them and you have some profits, sell.

Gold Will Rally In The New Year

In the last few years you've seen gold sell off at the end of the year and then rally pretty strong in the new year because what happens is towards the end of the year people get very optimistic about the future Oh things are gonna get better growth is gonna pick up the economy is gonna take off and so they get optimistic they buy stocks they buy the dollar a little bit they sell their gold and then the new year comes around and the hoped for rebound doesn't materialize and then they buy the gold back and the dollar sells off and and that's I think where we are.

Related trading instruments: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)

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