Oil: Where Is The Global Demand?

I think the bigger problem is, where is the global demand? I think if the demand is contracting, it is because economies are slowing down. And I think this is going to include the United States.

Related exchange traded funds: SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Oil: The First Of Many Bubbles To Pop?

Most of the good jobs that have been created over the past few years were created in that sector. And now these jobs are at risk. And I think this is somewhere between the dot com bubble  and the housing bubble. I think it is bigger than dot com, smaller than housing. But again there were also positive effects of falling home prices because it made cheaper for people to buy houses. But there was a lot of debt that was accumulated and a lot of layoffs in the sector, so we are looking at the same  possibilities in the oil sector burt here is a bigger equation. If it turns out that oil was just a bubble created by cheap money, well what about the stock market? What about the housing market? What about the bond market? What if they are all bubbles? What if the oil bubble is just the first of many that are going to pop?

Related exchange traded funds: Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares Dow Jones US Real Estate (ETF) (IYR)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Lower Oil Prices Will Push The U.S. Economy Into Recession

Long term of course, it is always a good thing. Contrary to what Central Bankers and the economist are telling us, it is always a good thing when consumer prices fall. Even Janet Yellen acknowledged the benefits of lower gas prices. Well, the same thing applies to all prices.

But here is the problem. If it turns out that we had a bubble in the energy sector, if the Federal Reserve really does raise interest rates, and I don`t really think they are going to, but if they do and the oil prices stays at these prices or goes lower, all of the activity in the oil sector for the last past several years turns out to have been a bubble and the layoffs that we are going to get in the short run and the credit losses and the Capex spending declines will be significant enough in the short run to push the U.S. Economy back into recession. I think it is a bigger impact than the bursting of the dot com bubble.

Related stocks: Exxon Mobil (XOM), Marathon oil (MRO), ConocoPhillips (COP), Chevron (CVX), Halliburton (HAL), Schlumberger (SLB)

Related exchange traded funds: Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

A Lot Of Disconnect In The Markets

There is a lot of disconnect right now in the markets. I think there is too much confidence in the legitimacy of the U.S. recovery, they are expressing that by bidding the U.S. dollar higher.

Related trading instruments: Euro Currency Futures, EURUSD forex cross;

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

U.S. Economy Is In Rapid Deceleration

Related exchange traded funds: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

What Falling Oil Prices May Be Signaling

Topics: Falling oil prices may mean that the world economy is about to go into recession;

Related Exchange Traded Funds: Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO)

Related stocks: Exxon Mobil (XOM), Halliburton (HAL), Chevron (CVX), Schlumberger (SLB), ConocoPhillips (COP), Marathon Oil (MRO)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Longer The Federal Reserve Waits To Raise Rates The More Painful It Will Be

If the Federal Reserve wanted to raise interest rates they would have already done it. Rates have been at zero for about 6 years. Why has the Federal Reserve not raised rates?

The reason Janet Yellen is not raising rates right now is because she does not want to. Because she is afraid of the effect it might have on the economy, on the markets. How is that effect going to be any different if she waits until April or June? It`s not.

In fact, if she is afraid to raise interest rates now, she should be even more afraid to do it in April or June because it will be a bigger bubble by then. The longer the Federal Reserve waits to raise rates the more painful it will be when she does.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Yellen`s Paradox

Topics: Janet Yellen`s view on falling gas and oil prices;

Related trading instruments: United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO), Nymex Crude Oil Futures

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Bitcoin & The Russian Crisis

Topics: Russian ruble crisis, Bitcoin, digital currencies;

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Without QE4 Real Estate Will Look Like Oil

Topics: Housing starts, U.S. Economy, QE4;

Related exchange traded funds: iShares Dow Jones US Real Estate (ETF) (IYR), United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Real Reason Why Stocks and Oil Are Falling

Topics: Stock market correction, Oil crash;

Related exchange traded funds: United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY);

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Russia: Central Bank Raises Rates To 17%!

Related exchange traded funds: Market Vector Russia ETF Trust (RSX), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM);

Topics: Ruble crisis, Crude Oil downtrend;

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

U.S. Economy: More Evidence Of Economic Contraction

Topics: U.S. Economy, Empire State Manufacturing Index (December)

Related exchange traded funds:  Select Sector Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Stock Market: Technicals Look Pretty Weak

The technicals in these markets look pretty weak. Remember we rallied very far, very quickly and now we are in a kind of no man`s land. If you look at some of these charts there is a lot of air beneath the market before you get some real technical support. So certainly there is the potential for another big decline in the markets.

Related exchange traded funds: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Stock Market: A Change In Trend?

Earlier in the week I made a podcast and I was wondering wether or not the volatility that we were seeing in the markets may have been portending a change in trend and it looks right now that certainly could be the case.

The Dow Jones Industrials Index finished down 315 points on Friday to cap the worst week for the Dow in over 3 years.

Related exchange traded funds: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

2014: Gold vs. World Stock Markets

Topics: Stock market performance in 2014 compared to gold;

Related exchange traded funds: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), iShares MSCI Thailand Market Index Fund (THD), WisdomTree India Earnings Fund ETF (EPI), Ishares MSCI Turkey Market Index Fund (TUR), Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (VNM)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Retail Sales: The Economy Is Not Driven By Spending

The economy is not driven by spending, its driven by savings and production, which we do not have. But you can keep the bubble going with the spending and people do not really make a distinction between a bubble economy and a genuine economy. Just as long as the bubble can keep inflating, that is all everybody really cares about. And the evidence of that is the fact that they are still spending.

Related stocks: Ford (F), General Motors (GM), Tesla (TSLA)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

A Sharp Oil Reversal

I think this oil decline is temporary. It is a market driven phenomenon, it is technical and again it has to do with the anticipation of a tighter Federal Reserve and a strong dollar. The dollar has strengthened but the Federal Reserve has not tightened and I do not believe it is going to tighten because I think the recovery is a mirage.

And as more people figure this out in 2015, and the dollar trade reverses, I think you are going to see a sharp reversal in oil as well.

Related stocks: Exxon Mobil (XOM), Marathon Oil (MRO), ConocoPhillips (COP), Schlumberger (SLB), Halliburton (HAL), Chevron (CVX), Diamond Offshore Drilling (DO)

Related exchange traded funds: Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO)

Topics: WTI Crude, U.S. Dollar, technical analysis, market dynamics.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Stock Market: No Sure Bets

Related trading instruments: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), Select Sector Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

This Is Going To Light A Fire Under The Gold Trade

When people figure out that the Federal Reserve is going to print more money than Japan and Europe combined, we are not getting ready to tighten, we are getting ready to launch QE4. That is going to light a fire under the gold trade.

Related stocks: Goldcorp (GG), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), NovaGold (NG)

Related exchange traded funds: Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

If The Fed Raises Rates, All Job Creation Will Disappear

The Federal Reserve has been in a box for a long time. The jobs report is not putting it in that box. If the Federal Reserve were to raise rates, all the jobs would disappear because the recovery in only here as long as the Federal Reserve is propping it up. We got 4 economic reports that came out, the jobs report was only one. All the other 3 were bad. The Trade Deficit, the Factory Orders and the Consumer Credit. All came out much worse than expected. Most of the economic data that has been coming out has been bad.

Related exchange traded funds: SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Central Banks Are Playing With Fire

Topics: Central banking intervention, monetary policy, consumer prices;

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

U.S. Trade Deficit In Manufacturing Goods Hits Record High

Topics: China`s trade surplus, U.S. record trade deficit;

Related trading instruments: SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA),

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

U.S. Economy: Trade Deficit & Job Creation

If we were creating productive jobs our trade deficit would be going down but because we are not creating those type of jobs we have to import what our people are not making even if they are working, they are working in goods producing areas, which is where they need to be.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Is Germany Opposing An European QE?

Germany is not just one country. Germany has a lot of weight. And my guess is if the Bundesbank does not want QE, it is not going to happen. It is not like it is going to happen over their objection.

So they are going to have to convince the Germans that QE is necessary and that QE is helpful. And I think that is going to be a very difficult hurdle to overcome.

Related indexes: Dax 30 Index, Eurostoxx 50 Index;

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Europe: QE or No QE?

The disappointment was that Draghi was not more forthright with, "Yes, we are doing QE for sure, and here is when it is going to start, and these are the particular sovereign bonds we are going to buy." He was still being evasive, he was still saying, "Well, if the circumstances are right, if we feel it is necessary, then maybe we will do it. There`s no guarantees."

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

ECB: Considering Buying Everything Except Gold

Topics: European Central Bank (ECB) asset buying program, gold;

Related trading instruments: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Gold Futures

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Falling Oil Prices Are Good For The European Economy

Falling oil prices are a good thing. They are good for the European economy. The only problem is that the low prices are not going to last, I think it is temporary. But the idea that Europe needs inflation is a complete and utter nonsense. Economies benefit from falling prices. Imagine if crude oil was free, if Europeans could have all the oil they wanted and did not cost anything. Wouldn't that be fantastic?

Related exchange traded funds: Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO)

Related stocks: ConocoPhipllips (COP), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Marathon Oil (MRO), Schlumberger (SLB), Halliburton (HAL)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Video: Falling Prices Would Help The Economy

Topics: Central Banking interventions to prevent deflation, Inflation defined as expansion of the money supply;

Related exchange traded funds: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), iShares Silver ETF (SLV), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

National Debt Tops 18 Trillion Dollars

Topics: National Debt, U.S. 10-Year Treasuries, U.S. Economy;

Related Exchange Traded Funds: ProShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year ETF (TBT), iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Expecting A Weak Holiday Season

Everybody has been talking about how this is going to be a great Christmas shopping season because the recovery is finally here, well, I have been saying for months that I expect a weak holiday season and for now it appears that my hunch is going to prove correct. Because the figures are out for the 4-day holiday weekend. This is traditionally the Thanksgiving weekend that kicks off the Christmas season.

This holiday weekend shoppers had more hours in which to shop than in prior holiday weekends because of the hours that the stores were open on Thanksgiving day. Yet, despite that and despite the big drop in gas prices, instead it was a disaster. Traffic at the malls or at the stores was down over 5 percent. So, 5 percent fewer people showed up to shop over the 4-day weekend. But even worse, the shoppers that showed up did not shop as much because they spent 11 percent less than they spent in 2013.

Related stocks: Apple (AAPL), GoPro (GPRO), J C Penney (JCP), Sears (SHLD), Target (TGT), Macy`s (M)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

U.S. Economy: Could Be The Worst Shopping Season In Memory

Related exchange traded funds: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY)

Related stocks: Apple (AAPL), Wal-Mart (WMT), Macy`s (M), J.C. Penney (JCP)

Topics: Holiday season, U.S. Economy;

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Crude Oil Collapsing Like In 2009

I think the U.S. Economy is far weaker than the general consensus. I think we are headed into recession too, and that is why you see oil prices collapsing the way they did back in 2009.

But another factor that is exerting more downside pressure on oil is the widespread belief that the Federal Reserve is going to be tightening monetary policy which would even exacerbate the problem in the global economy, and of course the rising dollar that is resulting from the anticipation of higher interest rates, is also forcing oil prices lower.

Related trading instruments: United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO), Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), Nymex Crude Oil Futures

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Gold: Russia Will Get A Good Buy

Topics: Gold market outlook, Swiss Gold Referendum, geopolitics of gold;

Related Exchange Traded Funds: Market Vector Russia ETF (RSX), SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)

Related stocks: Goldcorp (GG), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.