Monetary Policy: It Will Backfire

I believe Central Banks are behaving very foolishly around the world. They are deliberately cutting interest rates in pursue of inflation as if that`s the Holy Grail of economics. I think this is going to backfire. I think the inflation rates around the world will end up being much higher than any central bank has bargained for.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

U.S. Economy: A Gigantic Bubble

The U.S. Economy has never been in worse shape than it is right now. You just can`t perceive that because the Federal Reserve has not taken away all the monetary support. But this is not a genuine recovery, this is a gigantic bubble, this is bigger than the housing bubble, this is bigger than the dot com bubble. This is all fantasy.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Federal Reserve Is Bluffing

The Federal Reserve is still trying to bluff, they are trying to pretend that they remain on this course, headed for a destination that they will never reach, which is an interest rate hike. That is not what the Federal reserve is going to do next. The next thing the Federal Reserve is going to do is to launch QE4.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

U.S. Economy: The Weakest Its Been Since The 2008 Financial Crisis

We now have 5 consecutive monthly declines in Durable Goods ex-transportation. The last time that happened was during the months surrounding the 2008 financial crisis. So, yet again, we have more evidence that the U.S. Economy today is the weakest it has been since the depths of the 2008 financial crisis.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Fed Is Not Going To Let The Stock Market Go Down

The reason that a weak stock market is going to be bad for the dollar and good for gold is because it means the Federal Reserve is more likely to either not raise interest rates or launch QE4.

I think the only way the Federal Reserve can prevent a stock market correction from turning into a bear market is by launching QE4. Unless we do that, we will have a bear market which is another reason why I am certain we are going to get QE4 because the Federal Reserve will not allow a bear market because it has built this recovery on asset bubbles, it is not going to let the stock market go down.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Forex: The U.S. Dollar Has Been Drifting Lower

The dollar has been continuing to drift lower ever since Janet Yellen removed the word "Patient" last week and inserted a more patient attitude even though the word is not there.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

A Bullish Case For Gold

Traders are bearish on gold (SPDR Gold Trust ETF : GLD) because they are bullish on the dollar and they believe the Federal Reserve is going to raise rates. When they realize that they are not, and they have to rush to unwind these short trades and get back out of the dollar...if you thought gold went up a lot when the Federal Reserve did QE1 and QE2, wait till you see what is going to happen when they do QE4.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Fed`s Rate Hike Fantasies

I think it is very likely that we are going to start to see weaker non form payrolls numbers, we are likely to see the unemployment rate notching up, which means those rate hike fantasies are going to be pushed off further and further into the future until they are ultimately obscured by the reality of QE4.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Federal Reserve: Walking On A Fine Line

This bubble is too big to pop because if the Federal Reserve does pop it, the result will be a financial crisis much worse than 2008. So the Fed must maintain the pretense that is going to raise rates without actually ever doing it. That is the fine line that they are trying to walk.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Fed Will Only Raise Rates When They Are Forced To

They are never going to raise interest rates at least not until they are forced to. That is what I can`t understand, people have not figured this out yet, that Yellen has no intention of raising interest rates. She did mention that it was possible that they could raise rates but anything is possible. I mean an alien invasion is possible, right?... but its not going to happen. And it is not because of inflation, it is because we have a bubble, there is no legitimate recovery, if there was, they would have raised rates years ago. It is a gigantic bubble and the Federal Reserve is afraid to prick it.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Commodities: When Will They Start Surging Again

When the dollar turns, that is what is going to unleash commodity prices. oil prices will come back up. Other commodity prices that were falling based on the anticipation of rate hikes, when they realize that we are going to get QE4...

If you thought QE1 or 2 did a number on the commodities market, wait till you see QE4. And when those commodities start to surge, they are not just going to surge in dollars, they will surge in all these currencies.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Federal Reserve Is Even More Dovish Now

If you read the entire statement, the Federal Reserve is more dovish now than it was before. The Federal Reserve is more concerned about the U.S. Economy today than it was when the word patient was still there.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The U.S. Economy Is Rapidly Decelerating

The U.S. Economy is rapidly decelerating, I think without QE4 we will be back in recession. Now the Federal Reserve should allow that recession, it is going to be horrible, there is going to be a worse financial crisis than in 2008 but they will not do it. They will go back to the well and launch QE4, another question is, will they be able to bluff their way to QE5.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

U.S. Debt: Why The Federal Reserve Needs To Keep Rates Low

We don`t want to admit that we are insolvent so we have to raise the debt ceiling, so that we can continue to pretend that we can afford to pay the debt back, when it is impossible. In fact the debt is now so large, not only can`t we afford to repay it, we can`t even afford to service it if we have to pay a market rate of interest, which is why the Federal Reserve has to keep interest rates as low as possible for as long as possible.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Forex Markets Are Ignoring The Darkening Economic Picture Of The U.S.

The foreign exchange markets continue to ignore the darkening economic picture of the United States. The dollar enjoyed, I think, one of its best weekly gains in years, in fact it is the best 2 week gain for the U.S. Dollar Index since the financial crisis of 2008.

I keep hearing people talk about, 

Well, you know, we can ignore all this bad economic data because we got the jobs report. The jobs report is strong, and so therefore the economy must be strong and we can ignore all the economic data that suggests that the economy is weak. Because after all the jobs report says it is strong. 

Well, it seems to be, and I have said this before, that the jobs number looks like the outlier. When all the other data says White, and the jobs report says Black , why is that people are not questioning the validity of the jobs data?

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Dollar Bulls Are Wrong

I wonder how far the stock market has to fall before it dawns on some of these dollar bulls that the Federal Reserve is not going to raise rates. If we are in a bear market, is the Federal Reserve going to raise rates? I do not think so. If the Dow Jones Industrials Index drops 20 percent, are they going to kick the market in the groin while it is lying on the ground? Do they want the market going down 50 percent? Especially when the foundation of the recovery is the wealth effect from the stock market and the housing market.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Stock Market Could Drop Precipitously From Here

The markets are going to continue under pressure, the stock market could drop precipitously from here if this idea of a rate hike is not taken off the table by the Federal Reserve. Remember, the last time we had a significant correction in the stock market, the only thing that stopped it from turning into a bear market was a statement from a Fed Governor that QE4 was being considered.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Yellen Is Going To Have To Come Out

Janet Yellen has let the market assume that they are about to raise interest rates. She has not done anything to distract them. She is going to have to come out and actually tell people, "The economy is weak, we are not going to raise rates."

Maybe she is going to have to waive the white flag and surrender if she wants to stop the carnage in the markets.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

U.S. Stocks Are Now Down YTD

Well, that was quick. The Nasdaq 5,000 party ended pretty much the day it began. The Nasdaq today was down better than 80 points, we are now at 4867 and we are leaving 5,000 rapidly in the rearview mirror. The Dow Jones was down 332 points. Remember on last week`s podcast, I mentioned that the Dow Jones Industrials Index and the S&P 500 Index were still up on the year but ever so slightly and I thought it would surrender their gains this week. Well, it happened on Monday. Both the S&P, which was down better than 35 points and the Dow which closed at the low of the day, down 332 points, have wiped out all their gains and are now negative on the year.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Stock Market: Now Good News Is Not Good News

Now good news is not good news. Good news is bad news, because everybody believes that the Federal Reserve is going to raise rates now in June based on this number (Employment Report). And I think one of the reasons the markets had been rising recently was because more people were coming to my way of thinking of least about the June rate hike, thinking that they were off the table. Because the economic data had been so bad that people were thinking, the Federal Reserve is going to wait. But now that they have got this jobs data, everybody is convinced that they are going to move in June. I do not know why. There is nothing about this data that should change the Fed`s mind. This is just the same type of jobs number we have been getting all year long. If the Federal Reserve was not about to raise rates on the January number, which clearly was not based on Yellen`s most recent testimony, why should they raise it now? There is nothing remarkable about this number.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Nasdaq: A Key Reversal

We had a beat, a stronger than expected jobs number and the Dow Jones Industrials Index closed off almost 300 points.

The weakest technically was the Nasdaq. The Nasdaq traded above 5,0000 for the first time in 15 years on Monday, it closed above 5,000 too. But it closed not only down for the week, but it was an outside week. We took out last week`s high and closed below last week`s low. Now, from a technical pattern, that is called a key reversal and its a very bearish sign for that index.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Early Signs Of A U.S. Recession?

Probably the most bearish of the numbers we got was Factory Orders, which fell for the 6th consecutive months. This is rare. The last two times that we had Factory Orders fall 6 months in a row, the U.S. Economy has already in recession. It happened in 2008 and happened in 2001.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The U.S. Economy Has Never Been In Worse Shape

I think the U.S. Economy has never been in worse shape than it is now. I think the situation is far more dire now than it was 15 years ago. And the only thing is, its so bad that we might not have the collapse that we had because the central bank is so afraid of pricking this bubble that it does`t. We don`t raise interest rates like the Federal Reserve is promising. If the Fed did raise interest rates the markets would collapse. But they may so fearful of that, that they are not going to do it.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The U.S. Economy Is Not Taking Off, It`s About To Crash Land!

The last time we had 2 months in a row where consumer spending went down, that was 6 years ago. 6 years ago! During the Great Recession, that is how long you have to go back, 6 years to find back-to-back monthly drops in consumer spending.

We keep getting economic data that we have not seen in this country since 2008/2009. That ought to clue you into something. That the economy is not about to take-off, its about to crash land!

Ticker symbols: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Will The Stock Market Be Cut In Half Again?

Twice in the last 15 years the market has been cut in half. Not just the Nasdaq, but the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones  Industrials. Twice in the last 15 years!

Who says it cannot happen a third time?

Related ETFs: SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Stock Market: In Bubbles You Have To Make An Important Decision

Bubbles force you to make an important decision. You either look like a fool before they pop or you look like a fool after they pop. That`s it. And why do I say you have to look like a fool before they pop? Because you are the guy saying it is a bubble, saying it is irrational and you are the one that is not buying the stocks and as the bubble gets bigger and bigger the people that spotted the bubble look like they are fools because they are out of the action, they are not making the money that everybody else is making.

Then of course, the bubble bursts and all the people that thought they were so smart, end up looking really foolish because they lost all their money.

Related stocks: Facebook (FB), Tesla Motors (TSLA), Netflix (NFLX), Twitter (TWTR), Amazon (AMZN), LinkedIn Corp (LNKD)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Stock Market: The Whole Market Is A Gigantic Bubble

I would agree that I do not think the Nasdaq, or technology in particular is as overvalued now, as it was then, certainly compared to the rest of the market. But I think the market in general, not just the Nasdaq or technology, but the Dow Jones Industrials, the S&P 500 Index, I think the whole market is a gigantic bubble and I think the Federal Reserve has supplied a more air into the bubble this time than it did 15 years ago, because it needed to. I mean, it did not really need to, but to create the illusion of prosperity, it was forced to.

I think the U.S. Economy is much more screwed up now than it was 15 years ago, that it required a lot more air to inflate a bubble and there still are going to be dramatic consequences for investors and for the economy, if and when this bubble does in fact burst. And the only way it won`t burst is if the Federal Reserve decides it is really to big to burst and so it prints endless amounts of money.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Nasdaq: We Have All These Artificial Props

The Nasdaq would not be here if not for QE, the nasdaq would not be here without zero percent interest rates. It would`t be here without unprecedented stock buybacks fueled by cheap money. We have all these artificial props that have lifted up the market and there is no way to sustain the market without these props. The Federal Reserve is talking about normalizing interest rates, shrinking its balance sheet, it cannot do that without pricking this bubble and collapsing the market. Now, maybe they won`t do that, maybe they will launch QE4. That is what I think they are going to do and maybe the market will not collapse, but when that happens, the dollar will. The dollar is being propped up by the idea that the Federal Reserve is going to hike rates.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Nasdaq 5,000.

This time around its not really a tech bubble, its just the entire U.S. Economy is one gigantic bubble and that is what makes it so much more frightening for the economy and for investors. Remember, within a year of the Nasdaq first getting above 5,000 points, it dropped 4,000 points. We had a eighty percent decline. And so, people need to be cognizance of the risks when you get into the market at these levels.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

U.S. Economy: Construction Spending Plunges

More evidence of a weakening U.S. Economy. Construction Spending just saw the biggest decline in eight months.

Related: SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), SPDR S&P Homebuilders (ETF) (XHB)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Stock Market: Investor Delusion

Topic: The stock market keeps making new highs despite the weakening economic fundamentals.

Related trading instruments: Facebook (FB), Twitter (TWTR), PaloAlto Networks (PANW), Tesla Motors (TSLA), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Investing: Nothing Looks Attractive In The U.S.

Topics: There are no attractive investments in the United States right now. The U.S. bond market is in a big bubble.

Related ETFs: ProShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year ETF (TBT), iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Very Dangerous To Be Buying U.S. Stocks

Topics: The danger of buying U.S. stocks right now and the dangers of holding U.S. Dollars.

Related trading instruments: SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Facebook (FB), Twitter (TWTR), Tesla Motors (TSLA), Netflix (NFLX)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.