The Bond Market Is Smelling Inflation

Probably the most disturbing thing if I was on the Federal Reserve would be what is happening with long term interest rates. Take a look at yields on the 30-year US. Treasuries. We are now at the highest yield we have been in about 3 months. Why are yields rising?  The economic data is getting weaker, so why are interest rates rising? Because the bond market smells inflation, they smell stagflation. (iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Gold & Silver: Poised For Another Big Move Up

To me, these markets look as if they are poised for another big, big move up any day. ( iShares Silver ETF (SLV), SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), NovaGold (NG))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Crude Oil & Stock Market: Decoupling

The markets are really acting as they are figuring out what is going on. I mean the markets have stagflation written all over them. First of all, oil. Oil had a big up day today, better than 2 dollars a barrel. This is the highest price of the year yet despite this big jump in oil prices the Dow Jones Industrials Index was barely up and the Nasdaq Composite was down. Decoupling. (Nymex Crude Oil Futures, United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Stock Market Is Going Down In Real Terms

Gold continues to rise, so in real terms the U.S. stock market is going down and in fact the U.S. Dollar is now declining and has been declining all year against almost all currencies in the world, so it is just an illusion that the stock market is going up. (SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Stock Market Is Not Going Up As Fast As Gold

We want businesses investing in capital to increase labor productivity so that workers can earn more real money and the prices in real terms can come down so consumers can enjoy a higher living standards. None of that is happening. This has just been a bubble and the problem is that the air has been coming out of it, that is why we relapsed back into recession.

Yes, the stock market is going up but not as fast as the price of silver, not as fast as the price of gold. So in real terms the stock market is actually going down faster now than it was last year. (SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ), SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), iShares Silver ETF (SLV), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

America: A Coming Bankruptcy

Its a coming bankruptcy but we are actually bankrupted, it is a question of when we acknowledge it, the fact that we are a bankrupted country. That is one of the things that I agree with Trump, he constantly talks about the fact that America is broke, and we are. (SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), U.S. Treasuries)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Gold Stocks Are Rallying But The Major Firms Are Not Yet Participating

Gold stocks are going up yet everybody in the mainstream is sitting there doubting it. They are looking in amazement at the rally. This market is moving up and nobody in the mainstream of the investment world is on board. The train has left and there is nobody on it. So eventually they are going to buy at some point like they piled into the gold trade when it was at 1700, 1800, 1900. That is when the big firms started jumping on board just before the market turned. (Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), Goldcorp (GG))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Worst Case For Gold Is Still Bullish

The worst case scenario for Gold is, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates a little bit and that is bullish for gold or they do not raise interest rates at all, and that is even more bullish for gold or they cut interest rates and gold goes ballistic. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), iShares Silver ETF (SLV), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Another Bullish Factor For Gold & Silver

I am seeing a lot of mainstream articles now about why you should not jump on this bandwagon, how dangerous the gold market is. And all this stuff really is music to my ears. If you are a bull, this is exactly what you want. You want everybody to be skeptical. You want everybody to doubt. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), iShares Silver ETF (SLV), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), Hecla Mining (NL), Goldcorp (GG))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Gold, Mining Stocks Ready For Another Leg Higher

We are starting to see silver (iShares Silver ETF (SLV)) outperforming gold (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)), we are starting to see the small mining stocks (Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDX) outperforming the senior mining stocks (Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)). We are now kicking in another leg up in the market.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Silver & Gold: I Still Like Both Metals

I still like both metals. But this is constructive action.In fact the gold stocks are at new highs for the year even though gold itself still needs to go up 30 dollars. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), Goldcorp (GG), NovaGold (NG))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Recent Economic Data Points To A Recession

Obviously this economy is already back in recession and if its not in a recession its in the cusp of one.

You look at the data that came out, you got Industrial Production unless that came out, they were looking for a bounce, instead we got another true decline, they revised February down, we had big inventories build again this week, retail sales disappointed.

I think its clear that that we could be in a negative GDP quarter now and I think if the first quarter is bad the second quarter is going to be worse because the last couple of years we had a rebound in the second quarter because of very cold winters. Well, this winter was the warmest in 120 years, so there is nothing to rebound from. (SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Silver Typically Does Even Better Than Gold In Bull Markets

If I am right about a bull market in Gold, there`s got to be a bull market in Silver. I do not think that there has ever been a bull market in Gold that was not accompanied by a bull market is Silver. And typically the Silver market does even better in a bull market than Gold. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), iShares Silver ETF (SLV), Hecla Mining (NL), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Goldcorp (GG), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Stock Market Is Caught Between Opposing Forces

I do not know if the Dow Jones Industrials Index is rising despite the bad economic news or because of the bad news. Because the bad news means the economy is weak and corporate earnings are not going to be there and you have a high multiple. Disappointing earnings are bad for stocks but of course if the economy is weak that takes the Federal Reserve out of the interest rate hiking game and I think puts it in the cutting interest rates and QE4 game and of course that is bullish for stocks. The market is caught between these opposing forces. (SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ) )

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Stock Market Is Still In Denial

I think the markets are still in denial in respect to the underlying weakness of the U.S. Economy. The reason the markets have rallied off their February lows is because it is apparent and it should have been apparent earlier that the Federal Reserve is not going to be raising interest rates many times if at all in 2016. (SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Oil Prices Going Up Is Bad For U.S. Stocks And For The Economy

Oil prices going up instead of going down its going to be a negative to the U.S. Economy. I think the idea that what we need is higher oil prices, when it comes to wishing for higher oil price because you think that is good for the economy and for the stock market, be careful about what you wish for.

In fact, at the rate that own our rig count is collapsing all this oil that we are no longer producing has to be imported and the trade deficit going higher is also a negative for the U.S. Economy. (Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The U.S. Economic Weakness That Nobody Wants To Accept

We may have one of the weakest economies of the advanced economies, its just that nobody wants to accept that fact yet. (iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Gold Stocks: A Big Rally Again

We had a huge up day in gold stocks. Actually between Friday and Monday, I think this was the biggest back to back gain in gold stocks all year. The catalyst for this was the downgrade in the first quarter GDP estimates from the Atlanta Fed all the way down to just 0.1 percent. (Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), NovaGold (NG), Goldcorp (GG))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Stock Market: The Rally is Over

I think that this rally is over. I think the market is rolling over because as I said before, just not raising interest rates is not going to cut it. What the Fed is going to have to do is to cut interest rates back to zero. (SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

This Economy Would Have To Improve Dramatically To Get To Mediocre

This economy would have to improve dramatically to get to mediocre, it is lousy! Why do you think Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders have so much support? You know, behind all those phony jobs numbers are a lot of angry Americans who lost their full time jobs and have a low paying part time job, their standard of living is going down, their cost of living is going up. Everybody wants to pretend that this is a legitimate recovery but it is just an illusion.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

U.S. Recession: Trump Predicts A Very Massive Recession In The U.S.

Donald Trump has now predicted a very massive recession in the United States now. He did not say a recession, he is predicting a massive recession and of course must of the pundits on television don`t see any recession at all, not even a mild one. Here we have Donald Trump saying not only the recession is going to be massive but actually it is going to be very massive. (SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Gold Miners, Commodity Stocks: The Beginning Of A New Trend

It was one of the best quarters that I can remember for gold stocks. No one on Wall Street owns gold stocks but people like me own them, my clients own gold stocks. They had a great quarter.

So, if you are investing abroad, if you are investing in resource, if you are investing in gold, you had a phenomenal quarter and in my opinion this is the beginning of a new trend.

(Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), Goldcorp (GG), NovaGold (NG), Hecla Mining (NL), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Marathon Oil (MRO), ConocoPhillips (COP), xle, Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The U.S. Dollar Bubble Has Burst

The U.S. Dollar bubble has burst and I think this is the biggest dollar bubble I have ever seen. I think there is more air that is going to come out of it. The last U.S. Dollar bubble popped in 2001 and that one had inflated along the dot com bubble. The Dollar Index got to about 120 and by the time it bottomed out in 2008 the Dollar index was almost at 70.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

International Investing Doing Very Well

If you are invested internationally you had a great quarter. This is probably the best quarter since any quarter that I can remember since 2009 to be invested internationally. Because the weakness in the Dollar was a big tailwind. I think emerging markets had their best quarter in 4 years, the stocks were very strong. (iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Gold: Best Quarter In Over 30 Year!

Gold had its best quarter in better than 30 years! Gold was up more than 16 percent in the first quarter. Imagine being short that especially with the amount of leverage hedge funds use. This was the first time ever that the hedge funds were net short, they ended last year net short gold! (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Newmont Mining (NEM), Goldcorp (GG), Barrick Gold (ABX))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Pain Trade

At the end of last year, everybody with an hedge fund was long the U.S. Dollar and short the Euro, short the Yen, short the Australian Dollar, short the Canadian Dollar, you name it. Some of these guys were short the Chinese Yuan. The Yuan had a pretty good quarter too, the strongest quarter in 2 years. So everybody who was long the U.S. Dollar and short another currency got killed in the first quarter. The on ly people that lost more money than the people shorting the U.S. Dollar were the people who were shorting gold!  (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Markets: Not Investing In U.S. Stocks

First of all, remember, the U.S. stock market is only up (YTD) in dollars but in almost every other currency in the world the U.S. stock market is down. So, I would caution people against investing in U.S. stocks because I think the Dollar is going to fall a lot faster than U.S. stocks will rise.

Related Exchange Traded Funds: SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.