When the stock market crashed in Oct. of 1987, a sharp rise in bond prices not only cushioned the blow for diversified portfolios, but lower interest rates supported higher stock market valuations. This time stocks and bonds may crash together, leaving investors with no relief.
Oct 30, 2020
Oct 29, 2020
Bitcoin, Election & Stimulus
Bitcoin: The Biggest Bubble
If you measure the size of asset bubbles based on the level of conviction buyers have in their trade, the Bitcoin bubble is the biggest I've seen. Bitcoin hodlers are more confident they're right and sure they can't lose than were dotcom or house buyers during those bubbles.
Is a contested election good for the stock market?
The Economic Dependence On Stimulus
It's crazy to blame the problems in the economy or the stock market on a lack of stimulus. The Federal Reserve is already suppling constant monetary stimulus and the Federal government is providing huge fiscal stimulus. The problem is that the stimulus addicts now need an even larger dose.
Oct 27, 2020
Stock Market: All Bubbles Eventually Find A Pin
The Peter Schiff Show, Episode 622: All Bubbles Eventually Find a Pin
Highlights from this podcast episode:
- Stock markets tumble on renewed fears.Blue wave may not crest as once was expected.
- More stimulus comes with bigger government.
- Trump is the Republican Jimmy Carter.
- Trump’s legacy will be his successful Supreme Court nominees.
- The most important thing this election is to prevent Democrats from taking control of the Senate.
Oct 26, 2020
Elections: Biden Will Create A Weaker Economy
Bad news on the presidential election is perceived as good news for the stock market. Despite knowing a
Joe Biden win means lower corporate earnings and higher taxes, investors think the weaker economy Biden will create means even larger doses of fiscal and monetary stimulus.
Joe Biden win means lower corporate earnings and higher taxes, investors think the weaker economy Biden will create means even larger doses of fiscal and monetary stimulus.
Oct 12, 2020
Goldman Sachs Bets Against The U.S. Dollar
On CNBC: Goldman Sachs bets against the dollar on ‘blue wave’ prospects and vaccine outlook
Goldman is still too positive on the dollar, and doesn't understand that a delay in a covid vaccine is also bearish for the dollar. Such a delay will lead to an even weaker U.S. economy, larger budget and trade deficits, and even more money printing.
More Stimulus Only Weakens The Economy Further
The misguided goal of the "stimulus" is to get consumers to spend more. But excess past consumption is why the economy is so weak now. We must reduce consumption to free up resources to increase capital investment and production. More spending only weakens the economy further.
Very appropriate that Larry Kudlow was wearing a mask when he claimed the V-shaped recover was going strong, but that the economy needed an additional $1.8 trillion in government "stimulus." The economy can't be simultaneously strong and also in need of massive government support.
Oct 8, 2020
Powell Doesn't Understand Economics
Powell doesn't understand economics. Low interest rates are only good for the economy if they naturally result from high savings and low debt. If they result from Federal Reserve manipulation, they are extremely harmful. Like any government price control, it results in adverse imbalances.
The Fed's misguided monetary policy will create the condition where any cure for an inflation rate that greatly exceeds its 2% target will be fatal to the economy. If the inflation disease doesn't kill the economy, the cure will. The question is, which poison will the Fed pick?
Oct 5, 2020
The Wrong Road To Economic Recovery
The economy doesn't need more consumption, it needs more production. Productive employment will stimulate the economy. Printing money and distributing it to non-productive people will not. It will only result in larger trade deficits, a weaker dollar, and higher consumer prices.
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2020
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October
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- This Time Stocks And Bonds May Crash Together
- Bitcoin, Election & Stimulus
- Stock Market: All Bubbles Eventually Find A Pin
- Elections: Biden Will Create A Weaker Economy
- Goldman Sachs Bets Against The U.S. Dollar
- More Stimulus Only Weakens The Economy Further
- Much darker days for the U.S. dollar lie ahead. It...
- Powell Doesn't Understand Economics
- The Wrong Road To Economic Recovery
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October
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