Dec 20, 2022

Tesla, Elon Musk, EV Sector

All the talk that Elon Musk's involvement in Twitter is the reason Tesla (TSLA) has been falling is false.

Tesla (TSLA) stock has been over-priced for a long time. So has the entire electric vehicles (EV) sector. Tesla is actually outperforming its peers. 

TV pundits are looking for another excuse to bash Elon Musk.

Sep 26, 2022

Central Banks, Inflation

Central banks spent over a decade creating inflation, while using rigged CPI indexes to claim there wasn't enough inflation. Now that the consequences have materialized, it's too late to put out the fire. What we have seen thus far with inflation is just the tip of the iceberg.

Aug 30, 2022

Another Financial Crisis?

Why is Jerome Powell confident that he can tighten policy enough to reduce inflation from 8.5% to 2% without causing another financial crisis? Thanks to the Fed's easy money, which created the inflation problem, the current debt bubble is much larger than the one that popped in 2008.

Powell Doesn't Realize How Vulnerable The U.S. Economy Is

Jerome Powell doesn't realize how vulnerable the U.S. economy is to higher interest rates as he thinks Fed policies of ZIRP and QE solved the problems exposed by the 2008 financial crisis. Those policies only made the problems worse, while postponing and exacerbating the consequences.

Jun 29, 2022

Bitcoin: "Bag Holders"

Because Bitcoin whales succeeded in pumping Bitcoin close to $70,000, it's much easier for them to unload more worthless Bitcoin at $20,000, as those suckers who are buying think they're getting a bargain. These "bargain" hunters averaging down will eventually be known as bag holders.

Jun 1, 2022

German Inflation At A 60-Year High!

With official year-on-year (YoY) German inflation at 8.7%, a 60-year high and headed higher, the Euro experiment is clearly a failure. It's not the new Deutsch Mark, it's the new Italian Lira. Germany needs to leave the Euro Zone and really build back better by returning to a gold-backed mark. Gexit!

"German Inflation Hits 60-Year-High, 'Worse To Come', Says Allianz" - in ZeroHedge

Market Update: Bitcoin, Crude Oil, Gold

Bitcoin:
CNBC is so excited about Bitcoin's rise back above $32,000. When Bitcoin is falling
CNBC barely talks about it. But when it makes a big move up they can't stop talking about it. 


Crude Oil:
Crude Oil just hit $117 per barrel. It looks like the market is poised to finally reflect a Russian sanctions premium that should send the price to $150 per barrel by year-end. Next year the price could easily hit $200. But don't worry. America's super strong economy can handle it.

Gold:
Gold's failure to rise despite mounting evidence that inflation is getting worse doesn't mean gold is no longer an inflation hedge. It reflects investor's expectations that higher inflation means the Fed will fight harder to contain it. Investors are in for a rude awakening.

Apr 13, 2022

Bitcoin: The Big Money Is Selling

Everything went perfectly for Bitcoin over the past year. Non-stop positive media coverage, unprecedented advertising blitz, mega conferences, growing political support, celebrity endorsements, mainstream adoption, institutional investment, ETFs, NFTs, El Salvador, inflation, war, economic sanctions, etc. 

Yet despite all the hype and good news the price of Bitcoin is down 38% Year on Year (YOY). If none of this was sufficient to send the price of Bitcoin higher, what will? Wake up HODLers. You're being played. The big money is selling. It's a classic pump and dump!

Apr 5, 2022

Inflation: The Genie Has Never Been Further From The Bottle!

The saying "don't let the inflation genie out of the bottle didn't evolve for no reason. The Federal Reserve has never waited so long to fight inflation, nor perused a more inflationary monetary policy before picking the fight. As a result the genie has never been further from the bottle!

Fed Talk: "Balance Sheet Reduction Will Be Rapid"

Brainard's assertion that Federal Reserve’s balance sheet reduction will be rapid rests on her false assumption that the U.S. economy remains strong throughout the process. If the Federal Reserve follows through with this threat bonds will crash, taking the stock market and the economy down with it!

Apr 4, 2022

The Need To Move Reserve Assets From US Dollars To Gold

Traders selling gold on the prospect of a resolution to the Russian-Ukrainian war don't understand why buyers are accumulating. It's not about the war. It's about inflation. But sanctions, even if lifted, have highlighted the need to move reserve assets from dollars to gold.

The Federal Reserve Has No Excuse To Raise Interest Rates This Slowly

The headline PCE Index, the Fed's favorite inflation measure, as it understates it the most, surged 6.4% YoY, the biggest rise since 1982. Since even this flawed measure is more than triple the Fed's 2% target, the Federal Reserve has no excuse for raising rates this slowly or delaying quantitive tightening (QT).

Bonds Are Setting Up For Historic Crash

The Treasury yield curve is now inverted from the 2-year to the 30-year. Bonds are setting up for a historic crash when investors discover that a recession doesn't guarantee the end of high inflation. Inflation is not only here to stay, but the next recession will make it worse!

Bitcoin Isn't An Inflation Hedge

Bitcoin isn't an inflation hedge. Sure its price went up in the past, but there's no assurance that its price will rise in the future just because the price of goods or services rise. Bitcoin's price has no relationship to the price of anything that people actually need or use!

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