Apr 13, 2022

Bitcoin: The Big Money Is Selling

Everything went perfectly for Bitcoin over the past year. Non-stop positive media coverage, unprecedented advertising blitz, mega conferences, growing political support, celebrity endorsements, mainstream adoption, institutional investment, ETFs, NFTs, El Salvador, inflation, war, economic sanctions, etc. 

Yet despite all the hype and good news the price of Bitcoin is down 38% Year on Year (YOY). If none of this was sufficient to send the price of Bitcoin higher, what will? Wake up HODLers. You're being played. The big money is selling. It's a classic pump and dump!

Apr 5, 2022

Inflation: The Genie Has Never Been Further From The Bottle!

The saying "don't let the inflation genie out of the bottle didn't evolve for no reason. The Federal Reserve has never waited so long to fight inflation, nor perused a more inflationary monetary policy before picking the fight. As a result the genie has never been further from the bottle!

Fed Talk: "Balance Sheet Reduction Will Be Rapid"

Brainard's assertion that Federal Reserve’s balance sheet reduction will be rapid rests on her false assumption that the U.S. economy remains strong throughout the process. If the Federal Reserve follows through with this threat bonds will crash, taking the stock market and the economy down with it!

Apr 4, 2022

The Need To Move Reserve Assets From US Dollars To Gold

Traders selling gold on the prospect of a resolution to the Russian-Ukrainian war don't understand why buyers are accumulating. It's not about the war. It's about inflation. But sanctions, even if lifted, have highlighted the need to move reserve assets from dollars to gold.

The Federal Reserve Has No Excuse To Raise Interest Rates This Slowly

The headline PCE Index, the Fed's favorite inflation measure, as it understates it the most, surged 6.4% YoY, the biggest rise since 1982. Since even this flawed measure is more than triple the Fed's 2% target, the Federal Reserve has no excuse for raising rates this slowly or delaying quantitive tightening (QT).

Bonds Are Setting Up For Historic Crash

The Treasury yield curve is now inverted from the 2-year to the 30-year. Bonds are setting up for a historic crash when investors discover that a recession doesn't guarantee the end of high inflation. Inflation is not only here to stay, but the next recession will make it worse!

Bitcoin Isn't An Inflation Hedge

Bitcoin isn't an inflation hedge. Sure its price went up in the past, but there's no assurance that its price will rise in the future just because the price of goods or services rise. Bitcoin's price has no relationship to the price of anything that people actually need or use!

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