May 16, 2017

Stocks: The Retail Apocalypse (JCP, JWN, KSS, M)

Let me get into what I want to talk about. First of all it's the retail apocalypse which I have been talking about that from my perspective and not just my perspective, I think in reality the retail sector is in worse shape worse shape today than it was in 2008 during and immediately following the financial crisis.

And you know we got a lot of bad news from the retailers this week including J. C. Penney Inc (NYSE:JCP),  and Nordstrom, Inc. (NYSE:JWN) horrible sales from these companies and we had other retailers earlier in the week that came out with with bad news as Kohl's Corp (NYSE:KSS) department store.

If you look at some of the stocks like Kohl's Corp (NYSE:KSS),  trading at $36.50 - that stock was at $75-80 in the summer of 2015, so it's down 60 percent or so.

Dillard's which is at a 52 week low at just under $47 that was over a $120 more than a 50% decline.

Macy's Inc (NYSE:M) was down another 3 percent today, a new 52 week low. Macy's Inc (NYSE:M) is at 23.60 and Macy's Inc (NYSE:M) was like a $70 stock in the summer of 2015.

These are huge markdowns for these retailers.

May 12, 2017

Gold: Holding On To Some Key Support

The last time I was talking I thought gold looked really good short-term on the chart,  I thought it looked like it was going to go up to 1300. Instead it went the opposite way, it went down towards 1200. Well it didn't get that low, it's just below 1220.

But you know it shows you that you know technical analysis doesn't always work. You know you're not just going to automatically get rich because you're looking at a chart. I thought the weak economic data would be a catalyst for gold. We got the weak economic data but gold went down anyway.

Now, it still looks like it's holding on to some key support. Gold is still doing well this year it's still beating the US stock market considerably this year as is just about every other market in the world I mean the out performance that I've been talking about so far this year between foreign develop markets and especially emerging markets is widening continuing to gain on the US market. (Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX))

The U.S. Economy Will Not Grow At 3% This Year.

Wilbur Ross came out this week and admitted that the US GDP is not going to grow at 3 percent this year I mean that's why they pay this guy the big bucks right I mean you don't need to have that much information you know to be that's smart to figure out something that's that obvious but they finally admitted that the economy is not going to grow by 3 percent this year in fact it may even be in a recession this year so it's not only not going to grow by 3 percent it may not grow at all.

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