Mar 9, 2020

The Fed Will Cut Rates To Zero

The collapse in oil prices will provide cover for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to zero and ramp up QE, as it can claim it's necessary to fight declining inflation expectations. But when the U.S. dollar cracks, and oil and consumer prices surge, the Federal Reserve will be unable to reverse the policy.

Mar 5, 2020

The Dow Jones Transports Is In Bear Market Territory

The Dow Jones Transports are leading the decline, now down 20 percent into official bear market territory. The next stop is the December 2018 low, which is 5 percent below current levels. If we take that out the January 2016 low is a realistic target. That would be a 44 percent decline from the high! 

Related stocks: Delta Air Lines (DAL), United Parcel Service (UPS), Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), American Airlines

How A Recession Really Happens

What happens when declining revenue results in over-leveraged businesses being unable to make the interest payments on their debts?

What happens when over-extended workers living paycheck-to-paycheck get laid off and can’t make their mortgage, car loan, or credit card payments?

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