Jan 25, 2021
COVID Stimulus Will Be Paid For By Inflation
I agree with Jeremy Siegel that bondholders will suffer losses as COVID stimulus is paid for by inflation, but disagree with his assessment of how much it will cost. Inflation will be much higher, and the losses far greater than he thinks.
The U.S. Economy After The Pandemic
For all the talk about pent up demand driving strong economic growth after the pandemic, the truth is we must pay the bill for all the stimulus during the pandemic. Because we borrowed so much to mitigate the recession, we need to spend less during the recovery to repay the debt.
Jan 20, 2021
Rising Long-Term Rates Shouldn't Be Hurting Gold
Rising long-term interest rates are not helping the U.S. Dollar so they shouldn't be hurting gold.
The U.S. Dollar is falling despite rising nominal rates because the rise is driven by inflation fears. The Federal Reserve is so far behind the curve it can't even see it.
This is very bullish for gold.
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