Stock Market: Expensive, Complacency

The market has never been this expensive while at the same time so few people are worried that it might go down. (Select Sector Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF), Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ))

The Next Recession

Recessions have been happening for quite some time and you know the next one is long overdue and I do think that the enthusiasm surrounding the tax cuts and the gains in the market could well extend  the period between now and the next recession but I don't think it will extend it long enough for Trump to be reelected.

Bitcoin Is Going To Crash Down

I am sure that it is a bubble, in fact it's probably the biggest bubble I've ever seen in my career as an investor and I've seen quite a few bubbles and I'm familiar with this psychology that surrounds them.

And you know Bitcoin has all of the characteristics of a bubble, in fact it's not just Bitcoin it's the entire cryptocurrency space. I think it's a massive speculative bubble and maybe we've seen the top and maybe we haven't I don't know but I think when the top is in this thing is gonna come crashing down, it's not just gonna go down slowly. You know there's an expression that markets take the stairs up and the elevator down, well you know Bitcoin took a rocket ship up and it's gonna come down even faster.