Jan 26, 2016

The Federal Reserve Is Not Going To Be Able To Raise Interest Rates Again

I do not believe the Federal Reserve is going to be able to raise interest rates again, that was the reason I thought they were not going to raise them at all. I thought they were smart enough to recognize what the consequences of raising rates would be and that they would not want to put themselves in a box. I guess I overestimated the competency of the Federal Reserve. They raised rates apparently clueless of the havoc it would cause in the markets but I warned everybody of what was going to happen.

Of course since they raised rates, this is the worst start to a year in the stock market in history and in fact its one of the worst months in history of any year. And the U.S. Economy is rapidly returning to recession.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Jan 25, 2016

What The Federal Reserve Will Do Now

The bottom line is everybody is excited now because we are getting more money printing from Europe and possibly from japan too. That is what is driving everything but it is not over until the Fat Lady sings.

Janet Yellen is going to have to join the chorus. And it is not just about maybe the Fed is going to slow down their tightening. Because they are still projecting four interest rate hikes during 2016. The Fed did not even come out and said anything. The last we heard from anybody at the Fed was that the U.S. Economy was in great shape and their opinions have not changed at all since the rate hike. But for some reason Draghi felt compelled to take one for the team, "we are going to spare no expense, there is no mil it to what we are going to do."

The Fed has this credibility problem. I knew they were going to have this problem if they raised rates. They cannot come out and say, "We are going to ear too", they just tightened! The Fed is going to try, I believe, for as long as possible to delay having to admit that they are going to cut rates or do QE4.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Jan 23, 2016

A U.S. Economic Recovery And Higher Rates Cannot Coexist!

What is amazing to me is that people will not see that all these interest rate hikes cannot happen because the U.S. economy is the economy that is the most vulnerable to higher rates. We are the biggest debtors. A U.S. economic recovery and higher rates cannot coexist!

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Jan 22, 2016

The Fed Is Going To Take Interest Rates Negative, Launch QE4

The Federal Reserve is going to try it again. The Fed is going to take interest rates negative and launch QE4 that it is going to be bigger than QE3. But it will be too late to stop this recession from unfolding.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Markets: Jamie Dimon Is Wrong, High Yield Bonds & Treasuries

The market has got to be telling us that not only we are in a bear market but we are in a recession, the market is forward looking, the market is telling us that we are in a recession. In fact, the bond market is telling us that.

I was watching Jamie Dimon on CNBC, he was talking about why he saw value in the high yield bond market and he is looking at the spreads between high yield and Treasuries and he is saying, the high yield market is priced as if we were in a severe recession and therefore this is a great bargain because we all know that we are not in a severe recession, we are not even in a recession, the economy is going to grow 2 to 3 percent this year. Everything is great yet the bonds are priced as if there is a recession. Maybe the reason that the bond market is priced as if we are in a severe recession it is because we are in a severe recession. That would make sense because why are the bonds priced as if we are in a severe recession? Because we are! All the economic data that we keep getting shows that.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Jan 21, 2016

U.S. Stocks: All Bear Markets Begin As Corrections

The bear market in global stocks continues. In fact I believe we are in a bear market in the United States even though nobody wants to admit that its a bear market because technically the major averages are not quite down 20 percent even though some of the averages are, the Russell 2000 Index is down 25 percent from its high, in a bear market. There are many individual sectors that are way down in bear market territory.

All bear markets begin as corrections. You cannot be down 20 percent if you are not down 10 percent first. The bear market of 2001 when the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrials were basically cut in half, the Nasdaq went down by 80 percent, that decline started as a correction. The same thing in 2008, that market meltdown where the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrials were down about 50 percent, they were calling it a correction too until they realized that it was a bear market. And that is what they are talking about today.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

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