Mar 25, 2020

Gold Is The Safe Haven

Treasury bonds are not a safe haven. The Federal Reserve will own all the Treasury bonds, as well as most other U.S. dollar denominated debt. The problem is that the tens of trillions of dollars the Fed will print to buy all those bonds will be practically worthless. Gold is the safe haven.

Real bond yields will plunge as inflation soars. Normally rising inflation would push up nominal yields to compensate buyers for the erosion of their purchasing power. But since the Federal Reserve is buying to keep nominal yields from rising, the entire bond market is about to be monetized!

Mar 24, 2020

Gold: How It Reacts During Crisis

During the 2008 financial crisis, gold fell about 25 percent and took seven months to make a new high. This time gold only fell about 15 percent, and may make a new high in under a month. This shows how much greater this financial crisis is, and how much more reckless current Fed policy is.

Related trading instruments: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)

Bailing Out The Airline Industry

Watching CNBC anchors spreading more industry propaganda that without a government bailout, the U.S. will not have an airline industry. Without a bailout the U.S. will have a much stronger airline industry. To work at CNBC one must fail a test on free market economics.

Related trading instruments: Delta Air Lines (DAL), American Airlines (AAL), JetBlue Airways (JBLU)

Mar 23, 2020

QE Infinity Will Crash The U.S. Dollar

Americans wanting intervention to weaken the U.S. dollar should be careful what they wish for. The overvalued U.S. dollar is making things worse abroad, but it's actually lessening the pain here. Quantitative Easing (QE) infinity will crash the U.S. dollar on its own once the global dollar liquidity squeeze ends.

Mar 21, 2020

Gold Will Skyrocket

Gold is falling because investors are clueless as to what is coming. Their mindset is similar to that of central bankers. They have no idea how bad the consequences of the current monetary and fiscal policy mistakes will be. When they figure it out en masse, gold will skyrocket.

Related trading instruments: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), iShares Silver ETF (SLV), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)

Mar 19, 2020

Inflation Is Coming

All the discussion of the current economic decline and whether the stock market has bottomed is missing the point. The damage being done now by Federal Government spending and Federal Reserve money printing to cushion the immediate impact has adverse consequences worse than the Coronavirus. 

The money the Federal Reserve is printing isn't going to have value. It isn't going to buy anything. Prices are going to skyrocket. And in fact, this coronavirus is accelerating that process because it's reducing the supply of goods available to buy.

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