Apr 2, 2020

Record Initial Claims

Another 6.648 million Americans filed for unemployment last week, shattering the record set the prior week. With generous new benefits for losing one's jobs, and powerful incentive (likely to be extended) to remain unemployed, don't expect people to return to work any time soon.

Mar 31, 2020

Gold Isn't A Fear Trade

The media coverage, what little there is, of why people are buying gold, is wrong. Gold isn't a fear trade, or a hedge against the stock market. It's the best way for savers to protect their purchasing power when central banks are intent on destroying it by printing paper money. 

Thoughts On Trump's Infrastructure Spending Plans

President Trump thinks it's the perfect time for the government to borrow trillions more to improve our infrastructure. That's like a guy who just lost his job deciding it's the perfect time to take out a second mortgage to put in the swimming pool he's always wanted.

You Are Paying For The Bailouts!

If you don't know who is paying for the massive stimulus bill and bailouts, it's you. There's no free lunch. Everyone who saves or earns dollars will have their purchasing power stolen to fund an unprecedented increase in government spending. If you don't want to pay, buy gold.

Mar 26, 2020

The US Dollar Is Entering a Tailspin

Last week as the US dollar spiked many currency speculators were suckered into the trade. They are now underwater hoping for a rally. Soon they will stop hoping, and bailout of the biggest currency head fake ever. The US dollar is entering a tailspin from which recovery is impossible.

Topics: currency trading, forex, US Dollar;

Mar 25, 2020

Gold Is The Safe Haven

Treasury bonds are not a safe haven. The Federal Reserve will own all the Treasury bonds, as well as most other U.S. dollar denominated debt. The problem is that the tens of trillions of dollars the Fed will print to buy all those bonds will be practically worthless. Gold is the safe haven.

Real bond yields will plunge as inflation soars. Normally rising inflation would push up nominal yields to compensate buyers for the erosion of their purchasing power. But since the Federal Reserve is buying to keep nominal yields from rising, the entire bond market is about to be monetized!

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