Investors are selling gold and gold mining stocks because a rising Dow Jones means risk is on, so safe havens are reflexively sold. But the Dow Jones Industrials Average is only up because the Federal Reserve is creating inflation to prop it up. This is ultimately far more bullish for gold than it is for the Dow.
May 26, 2020
May 20, 2020
The Rise Of Gold
The relentless rise in the price of gold will call into question the viability of the U.S. dollar and its ability to continue to as the world's reserve currency. Given the lack of yield, if the dollar keeps losing value relative to gold, it will lose its reserve status to gold.
Does Powell Watch The Price Of Gold?
Someone should also ask Powell if he watches the price of gold, and if there is a price that would be high enough to concern him that Fed monetary policy is too loose, and that a dollar crisis might result from a failure to raise rates sharply and sell down the balance sheet?
The Risk Of Inflation
The main reason the Federal Reserve doesn't want to acknowledge the risk of inflation is that it's not prepared to do anything to put out the fire once it really gets started. So, it plays down the risk as long as it can, knowing that ultimately the inflation fire will burn the economy down.
Many People Have Over-Reacted To The Actual Health Threat
The crazy thing is that while so many people have over-reacted to the actual health threat posed by Covid-19, they have under-reacted to the grave financial and economic threats posed by the increase in government spending, borrowing, and money printing in reaction to Covid-19!
Apr 30, 2020
The U.S. Needs More Savings
Powell was asked what the Federal Reserve can do to make the economy more resilient to these type of shocks. The question is ironic as its the Fed's fault the economy is so vulnerable to these shocks in the first place. What's needed is more savings, which requires higher interest rates!
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