The market has got to be telling us that not only we are in a bear market but we are in a recession, the market is forward looking, the market is telling us that we are in a recession. In fact, the bond market is telling us that.
I was watching Jamie Dimon on CNBC, he was talking about why he saw value in the high yield bond market and he is looking at the spreads between high yield and Treasuries and he is saying, the high yield market is priced as if we were in a severe recession and therefore this is a great bargain because we all know that we are not in a severe recession, we are not even in a recession, the economy is going to grow 2 to 3 percent this year. Everything is great yet the bonds are priced as if there is a recession. Maybe the reason that the bond market is priced as if we are in a severe recession it is because we are in a severe recession. That would make sense because why are the bonds priced as if we are in a severe recession? Because we are! All the economic data that we keep getting shows that.
Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.
Jan 21, 2016
U.S. Stocks: All Bear Markets Begin As Corrections
The bear market in global stocks continues. In fact I believe we are in a bear market in the United States even though nobody wants to admit that its a bear market because technically the major averages are not quite down 20 percent even though some of the averages are, the Russell 2000 Index is down 25 percent from its high, in a bear market. There are many individual sectors that are way down in bear market territory.
All bear markets begin as corrections. You cannot be down 20 percent if you are not down 10 percent first. The bear market of 2001 when the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrials were basically cut in half, the Nasdaq went down by 80 percent, that decline started as a correction. The same thing in 2008, that market meltdown where the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrials were down about 50 percent, they were calling it a correction too until they realized that it was a bear market. And that is what they are talking about today.
Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.
All bear markets begin as corrections. You cannot be down 20 percent if you are not down 10 percent first. The bear market of 2001 when the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrials were basically cut in half, the Nasdaq went down by 80 percent, that decline started as a correction. The same thing in 2008, that market meltdown where the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrials were down about 50 percent, they were calling it a correction too until they realized that it was a bear market. And that is what they are talking about today.
Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.
Jan 20, 2016
Markets: We Are Clearly In A Recession Now
We are clearly in a recession now, the question is for how long have we been in recession, did it start a few months ago or is it starting this month?
We are back in a recession and its going to be a horrible recession, I think its going to be worse than the Great Recession (2008-2009) so it will be a greater recession. And it is because of everything the Fed did to mitigate the damage back then, they just postponed the pain to a later date, unfortunetely this is the later date and the pain is about to begin.
Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.
We are back in a recession and its going to be a horrible recession, I think its going to be worse than the Great Recession (2008-2009) so it will be a greater recession. And it is because of everything the Fed did to mitigate the damage back then, they just postponed the pain to a later date, unfortunetely this is the later date and the pain is about to begin.
Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.
Jan 19, 2016
This Is Clearly The Type Of Action That You Get In A Bear Market
This is clearly the type of action that you get in a bear market. I think we are in a bear market and many stocks have been in a bear market for a long time but it was being masked by some of these big profile names that were doing so well that were masking the problems beneath the surface. Now that those stocks have joined the party they are no longer obscuring what is going on.
Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.
Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.
Jan 18, 2016
There Many Stocks Down 60, 70, 80 Percent
All the major averages are now lower than they were when the Federal Reserve ended QE3. Pretty soon they will all be lower than they were when the Federal Reserve started QE3. And when you dig beneath the sectors there are many individual stocks that are down 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70 and 80 percent. Look at GoPro (GPRO) now down 82 percent from where it was last year, that was one of the highly touted IPO`s and obviously it has now collapsed.
Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.
Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.
Stock Market: We Are Probably In A Bear Market Right Now
The Dow Jones Industrials Index ended another down week on a down note dropping 390 points. The Nasdaq Composite was down as well, down 126 points. Of course at one point the Nasdaq Composite was down almost 190 points and the Dow Jones Industrials was down 530 points but we still finished off a pretty bad week extending the rout. This is the worst January in the history of the stock market.
The Dow Jones Industrials is now off 13 percent from its highs, the Nasdaq Composite about 15 percent from its highs so firmly in correction territory, that is what Wall Street calls a decline of 10 percent or more. When it hits a decline of 20 percent they call it a bear market.
We are probably in a bear market right now because ultimately those indexes will be down 20 percent so we are just early in the bear market. The Dow Jones Transportation Index is down 27 percent from its highs, that is a bear market, the Russell 2000 Index is down about 23 percent, so bear market territory there. And of course there are many sectors that are in a bear market.
Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.
The Dow Jones Industrials is now off 13 percent from its highs, the Nasdaq Composite about 15 percent from its highs so firmly in correction territory, that is what Wall Street calls a decline of 10 percent or more. When it hits a decline of 20 percent they call it a bear market.
We are probably in a bear market right now because ultimately those indexes will be down 20 percent so we are just early in the bear market. The Dow Jones Transportation Index is down 27 percent from its highs, that is a bear market, the Russell 2000 Index is down about 23 percent, so bear market territory there. And of course there are many sectors that are in a bear market.
Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)