Oct 26, 2020

Elections: Biden Will Create A Weaker Economy

Bad news on the presidential election is perceived as good news for the stock market. Despite knowing a
Joe Biden win means lower corporate earnings and higher taxes, investors think the weaker economy Biden will create means even larger doses of fiscal and monetary stimulus.

Oct 12, 2020

Goldman Sachs Bets Against The U.S. Dollar

On CNBC: Goldman Sachs bets against the dollar on ‘blue wave’ prospects and vaccine outlook

Goldman is still too positive on the dollar, and doesn't understand that a delay in a covid vaccine is also bearish for the dollar. Such a delay will lead to an even weaker U.S. economy, larger budget and trade deficits, and even more money printing.

More Stimulus Only Weakens The Economy Further

The misguided goal of the "stimulus" is to get consumers to spend more. But excess past consumption is why the economy is so weak now. We must reduce consumption to free up resources to increase capital investment and production. More spending only weakens the economy further.

Very appropriate that Larry Kudlow was wearing a mask when he claimed the V-shaped recover was going strong, but that the economy needed an additional $1.8 trillion in government "stimulus." The economy can't be simultaneously strong and also in need of massive government support.

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