It's not that
the inversion of the yield curve causes
the recession. It's that's that long
rates start to fall as investors start
to look beyond the expansion to the next
recession and they start pricing in the
next round of rate cuts.
So it's not that
the inversion causes the recession it
simply is a good indicator that a
recession is coming so you don't need an
inverted yield curve to get a recession
and we're gonna have a recession this
time without the yield curve inverting
given how little headway the Federal Reserve was
able to make in normalizing interest
rates.
