The Anti-Dollar Trade

I am totally all-in on this anti-dollar trade and and so this type of sentiment by retail investors on top of all of the other economic indicators market indicators that I am seeing simply cements for me how right I ultimately am on this investment strategy.

Related trading instruments: 

• Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)
• Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)
• SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)

Thoughts On The Stock Market Bubble

There's no way that if you are investing rationally if you are buying value stocks right and using your brain, there is no way that you're gonna outperform a bubble. Nobody can do that but of course once the bubble pops that's when the outperformance comes in. I mean and if it's a bubble you are guaranteed to outperform it if you just can wait it out because bubbles by definition always pop and when they do they collapse.

Related trading instruments: 

• SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY)
• iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM) 
• Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ) 

Did Kudlow Put In A Floor For Gold Prices?

Larry Kudlow shares his views on gold and the US Dollar.

Related trading instruments: 

• SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)
• Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)

Markets: Trump, Kudlow, Tariffs

What is Larry Kudlow done most of his life? He's been a TV personality like Trump. Yes he has worked at Bear Sterns for a while but most people know him from CNBC as a commentator and he has a lot of connections, he's regarded on Wall Street and I think this is the president trying to make that overture. This is all about show remember he's a showman.

I think that Kudlow is ultimately going to come out in support of whatever tariffs the president wants to adopt. Maybe they'll pretend that Kudlow had some influence on maybe targeting the tariffs in the right direction. Nothing has changed simply because Larry Kudlow has been has been nominated. It simply to me indicates a kind of a smart move on the part of the President given the agenda that he wants to pursue.

Markets: US Dollar, Gold

Even with today's bad economic data even with the downward revision by the Atlanta Fed the US Dollar was up slightly today. Gold was flat, it didn't really go anywhere. Nobody really perceives what's going to happen.

Retail Sales: Down 3 Months In A Row

Instead of getting a rebound we got another drop, we got another point one percent decline in February. That's a trifecta, that's three months in a row of falling retail sales. That hasn't happened in six years, I mean this is pretty rare. If you're like me and you've been very skeptical of the economy being good this is a validation because Americans are broke!

Bitcoin Is Nothing Like Gold

Bitcoin is nothing like gold despite the fact that you have all this terminology that was deliberately used to make it sound like gold. You mine Bitcoin, right? No,  there's no mines, there's no pitchforks there's nobody out there, there's no mine right? But you create them but they said it's mining and there's miners to make it sound like gold. They make the Bitcoin look like gold, it's color it looks like a coin made of gold. That's done for a reason. To create the false impression that you're buying something like gold.

Bitcoin: We've Seen The Peak In The Bubble Already

The bigger story is gonna be the money that's lost. There's gonna be so many people that are gonna lose a tremendous amount of money in these crypto currencies. There's a pretty good chance that we've seen the peak in the bubble already.

Bitcoin: I Don't Think It's Going To Work

I don't think it's going to work and people say well you just don't understand it. I think I do understand it, I think the reason that so many people are involved in it is because they don't understand it. Now, a lot of those people have made quite a bit of money by not understanding it because they bought it a long time ago and greater fools paid even higher prices and people can confuse that success with understanding.

Manufacturing Jobs Will Be Lost As A Result Of These Tariffs

Trump is right, the trade deficit is a problem but where Trump is wrong is thinking that these tariffs are going to solve the problem. They won't. They will make the problem worse. 

This is the irony of these tariffs. They will result in larger trade deficits not smaller trade deficits and that's even without any foreign retaliation meaning if China, if Europe, if our trading partners do nothing in response to these tariffs the result will be larger not smaller deficits. And manufacturing jobs, the very jobs that Trump is hoping to save, manufacturing jobs will be lost as a result of these tariffs.