Higher Inflation Is Bullish For Gold

The idea that higher inflation is somehow a negative for gold is completely wrong. I do agree that the markets are correct in that inflation will be increasing, especially given the stimulus that a Republican Congress and President Trump may in fact deliver. But that is a good thing for gold, not a bad thing for gold. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), Goldcorp (GG))

For How Long Can The Market Be Oblivious To Higher Rates?

For how long can the stock market be oblivious to higher interest rates? Because not only do higher interest rates dramatically slow the economy, they crush the housing market, but stocks themselves, you value stocks based on interest rates. You discount earnings based on interest rates.

Even if the earnings go up a little bit, you have to discount them by a higher amount and the PEs (price to earnings ratio) are already very high and the justification for the high PEs was not the growth rate, it was the discount rate. (SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ))

The Catalyst For The Next Economic Recession

The same people that believed that there was a real economic recovery now believe it is going to get even better. Why? In fact, this so called recovery is so old that we are overdue for a recession and why would not this big increase in interest rates be the catalyst to cause it?