The
truth is they can't raise interest rates
because we have too much debt we can't
afford right a normal rate of interest. Because we have an abnormal amount of
debt they can't shrink the balance sheet, the deficits are too high and if
they did shrink the balance sheet it
would put too much upward pressure on
long-term interest
and it would collapse the
bubble.
Apr 3, 2019
Mar 26, 2019
The Coming Recession Will Be Bearish For Bonds
Wait until investors figure out that the coming recession will be bearish for bonds. This time soaring budget deficits and a return to QE and ZIRP will result in a sharp fall in the dollar and rise in consumer prices. With stagflation real demand for bonds falls as supply rises!
Related trading instruments: 10- year U.S. Treasuries, iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), ProShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year ETF (TBT)
Investors Are Fearless!
On CNBC this morning a prominent asset manager boasted he is buying U.S. stocks because investors are so fearful of an inverting yield curve and that the 2nd longest economic expansion is nearing its end. While investors should fear that and more, they don't. Investors are fearless!
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