Stock Market: The Trump Put

It's not just the Powell Put. The stock market also benefits from the Trump Put. Anytime the market falls Trump simply tweets something positive about a pending trade deal with China. Since Trump can't play this card if an actual deal is made, his incentive is not to make one!

Related trading tickers: SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA)

The Real Reason Why The Fed Cannot Raise Rates

The truth is they can't raise interest rates because we have too much debt we can't afford right a normal rate of interest. Because we have an abnormal amount of debt they can't shrink the balance sheet, the deficits are too high and if they did shrink the balance sheet it would put too much upward pressure on long-term interest and it would collapse the bubble.

The Coming Recession Will Be Bearish For Bonds

Wait until investors figure out that the coming recession will be bearish for bonds. This time soaring budget deficits and a return to QE and ZIRP will result in a sharp fall in the dollar and rise in consumer prices. With stagflation real demand for bonds falls as supply rises!

Related trading instruments: 10- year U.S. Treasuries, iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), ProShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year ETF (TBT)