2018 Outlook: Gold, Bitcoin

"If people earn more money because central banks create more money they use their additional incomes to bid up prices for everything so I think a lot of prices are gonna be rising not just the price of gold." 

"I do believe as more people perceive the threat of inflation and see the dangers of what the central banks have been doing I think the price of gold will rise faster than a lot of other prices as people embrace it as a hedge against inflation and as a store of value."

Gold Will Rally In The New Year

In the last few years you've seen gold sell off at the end of the year and then rally pretty strong in the new year because what happens is towards the end of the year people get very optimistic about the future Oh things are gonna get better growth is gonna pick up the economy is gonna take off and so they get optimistic they buy stocks they buy the dollar a little bit they sell their gold and then the new year comes around and the hoped for rebound doesn't materialize and then they buy the gold back and the dollar sells off and and that's I think where we are.

Related trading instruments: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)

Wiping Out The Debt With Inflation

I think the problem we are going to be confronted with is going to be much worse than a financial crisis. It is going to be a US dollar crisis, and it is going to be a sovereign debt crisis where the bonds people are worried about are not some sub-prime mortgages,  it’s going to be the U.S. government that people are worried about and the solvency of the U.S. Treasuries.

If it’s a US dollar crisis and people are worried about the US dollar, the only thing worse than owning a dollar today is owning the promise of being paid in dollars in the future. 

I don’t think we have the courage to default and admit to our creditors that we don’t have the money and we can’t repay. I think we will create all the money that we need so we can pretend to repay, but what we end up doing is wiping out the debt with inflation.

Related trading instruments: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), iShares Silver ETF (SLV), iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

Gold: People Don't Trust Fiat Currencies

People don't trust fiat currencies they don't trust a dollar euro yen they're looking for an alternative and believe me the real alternative is gold and more and more people are going to embrace it. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ))

Gold Is Trying To Breakout

Gold (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)) still looks like it wants to break out somebody is obviously trying to stop that from happening or somebody's don't really know who these sellers are but I do think eventually whatever their agenda is the markets are going to overwhelm it.

Real Vision: Discussing Gold and the US Dollar

Peter Schiff on Real Vision discussing the markets in general and gold in particular.

Related trading instruments: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)

The Downside Risks Of Gold & Bitcoin

Bitcoin is approximately $6,000 a coin right now, It could be $600 a month from now. We don't know that, I mean it could be higher, it could be $10,000! Gold it's not likely to crash and if it goes down, you know gold has a real cost of mine and there's a lot of demand for it so there's a limit really. I mean if the price goes down there's not going to be any more of it made. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD))

Tax Cuts: Bullish For Gold, Bearish For The Dollar

If we get these tax cuts the US Dollar is going down, not up and gold is gonna go way up not down! (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), iShares Silver ETF (SLV))

Video: New Fed Chair, Stock Market and Gold

Peter Schiff discusses the gold outlook with RT.com

Related trading instruments: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)

Rising Inflation Will Be Bullish For Gold

Peter Schiff explains in this podcast why a rise in U.S. inflation will be bullish for the precious metals and at the same time bearish for the U.S. Dollar. 

"The reality is, higher inflation is not going to produce a tighter monetary policy. The Federal Reserve is going to have to ignore the higher inflation which means the inflation is going to get even worse!"

Related trading instruments: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)

This Is Bullish For Gold

Ultimately if the Federal Reserve has to make a choice between fighting inflation and unemployment because the Federal Reserve believes in the Phillips curve, the trade-off between inflation and employment, the Federal Reserve will always choose to fight unemployment or to prop up the labor market and sacrifice its inflation goal. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ))

There's Optimism Everywhere Except Gold

There's optimism everywhere except when it comes to gold and that's the one place where people should be optimistic and it's the one place they're not. (Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), iShares Silver ETF (SLV))

Fed Nonsense

The FOMC minutes indicate the Federal Reserve is worried that inflation will not be high enough. That is the last thing the Federal Reserve should be worried about! (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), iShares Silver ETF (SLV))

Renewed Weakness In The US Dollar

Gold is still hanging out below 1300 and the renewed weakness in the US Dollar, I think part of the renewed weakness in the US Dollar has to do with the idea that maybe all these tax cuts aren't going to pass that this Republican plan or the Trump plan that was outlined it's gonna have a hard time getting through Congress.

Gold: Below 1,300 Will Likely Be A Buying Opportunity

Peter Schiff’s most recent commentary on gold:

"We are at 1290 on the price of gold, so we're right below where I thought the support was at 1300." 

"I'm not that worried that we're going all the way back down to 1200."

"I don't think we see a bigger pullback though given the fact that we're not getting a rise in the dollar and oil prices are now comfortably holding above $50 a barrel."

"Strong oil, a weak dollar, to me that means that gold prices are likely heading higher even though we're a little bit below that support, I think that people are gonna buy it, I do think that 1300 is maybe the new 1200 so anything under that I think is going to be looked at as a buying opportunity."

Related trading instruments: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), Barrick Gold (ABX), NovaGold (NG), Newmont Mining (NEM)

Markets: Yellen, US Dollar and Gold

The US Dollar got a bit of a bounce but very little in the way of upward trajectory despite the the supposed hawkishness and the way the markets are greeting what Janet Yellen said. 

So the US Dollar is already falling but it's not collapsing yet. I mean, it's falling but people are still not completely aware, there's just not enough bearishness yet in the US Dollar. Obviously if there was the price of gold (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)) would be taking off but we're not too far away from that point and when the US Dollar starts to fall next time there's gonna be nothing stopping it.

Bitcoin, Gold and The Madness Of The Crowds

In a recent podcast, Peter Schiff advised Bitcoin investors to read the book Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds and put gold and Bitcoin in an interesting historic perspective when he mentioned that in a few thousand years, Gold will still be money while bitcoin and the other crypto currencies will be just a blip in history:

"...gold will still be money who knows if anybody will even remember a Bitcoin or any of these crypto currencies that existed for a relative nanosecond in the history of time but I don't know I mean maybe they'll write a new chapter in that book popular delusions and the madness of crowds and by the way if you own some bitcoins get a copy of that  book and read it because it is very applicable to what's going on now."

Related trading instruments: Bitcoin, SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX),

Russia and China Are Buying Gold

Russia and China are buying gold specifically to minimize their dependence on the US dollar. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), Market Vector Russia ETF Trust (RSX), iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index ETF(FXI))

Federal Reserve: A Cosmetic Reduction In Its Balance Sheet

Even if the Federal Reserve does get away with a cosmetic reduction in its balance sheet, the total will be completely reversed by the first month of QE4. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA))

Gold: Hurricane Related Sell-off Is A Buying Opportunity

The smart money is taking they the other side on this trade. They are buying the gold on this dip buying the gold stocks on this dip. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), Barrick Gold (ABX), Newmont Mining (NEM), Goldcorp (GG))