Newly Negotiated Trade Deals & Infrastructure Investment May Be Bullish For Silver

The renegotiated trade deals and the infrastructure investments planned under a Trump Administration may prove bullish for future silver prices. (iShares Silver ETF (SLV))

The Beginning Of An Explosive Move Up In Interest Rates

It is not just the fact that bond yields are rising but the rapidity of the move and the technical damage that`s being done. This could be the beginning of an explosive move up in interest rates and right now no one seems to care. (SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bnd ETF (JNK))

The Stock Market Bubble Needs To Deflate

There is no way we can have the economic growth that everyone is so excited about until we deflate the stock market bubble and Trump talked about a stock market bubble when he run for Office.

This Is A Gigantic Bond Bubble

This is a gigantic bond bubble that has been inflating for decades and we do not get a free pass because we have Trump. Our economy is so screwed up, the imbalances are so enormous of decades of bad policy that we just cannot elect Donald Trump and now everything magically goes away! (10- Year U.S. Treasuries, iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) )

The 30-Year U.S. Government Bonds Will Collapse

Donald Trump has already said that we wants to take advantage of these low interest rates, finance deficits with 30 year bonds. So if he is going to be selling all these 30-year bonds, bond prices are already falling now in anticipation of this massive supply. The Federal Reserve is not buying them, there is no more QE in place. The emerging market currencies are being slaughtered, they are not going to be buying dollars, they are starting to sell U.S. Dollars, they are going to need to sell their Treasuries.

So, if you have emerging markets central banks trying to unload Treasuries from their reserves, the Federal Reserve is not buying any and at the same time the U.S. Government trying to sell massive quantities of long term Treasuries, how can the price of those bonds not collapse?

The Bond Bubble Is Deflating

The bond market had its worse week since 2013 and it looks like a lot more carnage can come if we really break down. Yields are still low. The yield on the 10-Year Treasuries is just above 2.10 percent and the yield on the 30-Year is now above 2.90 percent. These are still low yields but they are not nearly as low as they were a while back. But what is more important is the momentum in this move and how much higher interest rates would potentially go as this bond bubble deflates.

Stock Market, Gold & Bonds

The Dow Jones Industrials Average (DJIA) was up almost 1,000 points last week. The gold market was down 70 dollars on the week, a percentage decline of 7 percent or so. Silver was also down about 5 percent. Gold and silver stocks were down close to 20 percent.

The stock market had its best week since 2011 and the bond market had its worse week since 2013 and it looks like a lot more carnage can come if we really start to break down.

U.S. Economy: What Trump Is Planning To Do Is Impossible

Back in 1980, America was still the World's largest creditor nation so our bonds seemed like a good risk and they were paying a very high rate of interest to the people willing to loan us the money. Fast forward to 2016, if Donald Trump thinks he can pull a Ronald Reagan, if he thinks he can cut taxes and increase government spending and somehow finance that...that is impossible! And the bond market is just starting to show that. (iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT))

Bond Market: Explosive Move In Yields In Reaction To Trump

We had an explosive move in yields. Some people are saying, well maybe this is just the bond market reacting to the possibility of higher growth. No! This is the bond market reacting to the possibility of much bigger deficits, huge supply. What Donald Trump is promising to do is going to explode an already enormous budget deficit. (10- year U.S. Treasuries, iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), 30-year U.S. Government Bonds)

Trump: The Bond Market Is Giving A Flashing Warning Signal

Donald Trump is intending to increase government spending in infrastructure to create jobs, on national defense to keep us safe, on taking care of the veterans, to build a wall...He is talking about massive increases in spending and at the same time he is talking about substantial cuts in taxes. He wants to cut the corporate tax rate, he wants to cut the individual tax rate. This is something we have not seen since Reagan. Donald Trump is going to run into a brick wall that did not exist at the time of Reagan and the bond market is really giving a big flashing warning signal.

The Only Way Central Banks Could Hurt Gold Prices

The only way to really hurt gold would be for Central Banks to become aggressive inflation fighters, to really get in front of the curve, to raise interest rates substantially. I do not see any of that happening! (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX))

Gold: A Down Payment On Much Larger Returns

I think this recent gold (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)) correction is just a down payment on much larger returns. When the year began everybody was bearish on gold because everybody expected the federal reserve to hike interest rates, not just hike once but begin the much hyped and anticipated normalization process. Because interest rates have been at zero for many, many years and the Federal reserve was beginning to normalize interest rates. What I said at the time was, (A) I did not believe it, even if the Federal Reserve raised interest rates it would not matter because they would never deliver the number of interest rate hikes that were anticipated by the markets.

Why Does Wall Street Prefer Hillary Clinton?

Why does Wall Street want Hillary Clinton? Because Hillary Clinton continues the status quo that everyone on Wall Street likes. (Goldman Sachs (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS), J.P. Morgan (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C))

The Stock Market Prefers Hillary

It is no secret that the markets want Hillary Clinton to be elected. (SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

A Very Suspicious GDP Number

I am very suspicious of this recent GDP number. It is the strongest number in over 2 years and it comes out less than 2 weeks before the election. Of course one of the issues Dnalpd Trump had has been the weak GDP growth which has averaged just 1 percent over the last 3 quarters. All of a sudden its 2.9 percent?

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Why Is Consumer Confidence Dropping

I don`t think it is an accident that consumer confidence is dropping at the same time that Trump`s poll numbers are dropping because I think there was a lot of hope and optimism on the part of Trump voters.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Even A Tiny Rate Hike Will Damage This Bubble Economy

I believe that this bubble is so big, we have so much debt, that even these tiny interest rate hikes are doing damage to this bubble economy.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Gold, U.S. Dollar & Interest Rates

Even if the currency traders are worried about a December interest rate hike to the extent that they think it is negative to foreign currencies, gold traders do not seem to care about how an interest rate hike might impact the price of gold because the price of gold (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSE:GLD)) is rising even as the probability of a December interest rate hike is rising.

Which says either gold traders do not believe those numbers and they feel that a December interest rate hike is not coming or they correctly concluded that even if the Federal Reserve does raise interest rates in December its no big deal. Its too little to late to be a negative for the gold market because the Federal Reserve is going to deliver far less than it promised when it comes to interest rate hikes. 

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Gold: Indian Farmers Are Buying More Gold

In India a healthy monsoon season is creating a renewed interest in gold by indian farmers. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Economic Data Indicates An Incoming Recession

The economic data indicates an incoming recession. The number of multiple jobholders reached the highest number since the 2008 financial crisis. (Select Sector Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF), SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bnd ETF (JNK), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

We Need To Shrink The Government

The U.S. was great because government was small. But now government is great, and the United States will not be great again until we shrink the government.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

More Money Will Move Into Gold

As the potential for an interest rate hike is diminishing the appeal of Gold (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSE:GLD)) is improving. Gold prices (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSE:GLD)) are now back above 1260. We had a couple of back to back strong days in the gold sector (Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)) and maybe this most recent correction of the upward trend which the catalyst for it was the renewed expectation of a November and December interest rate hike, I think as those expectations are reallistically dialed back we are going to see more money moving into the metals (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), iShares Silver ETF (SLV))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

If The Fed Raises Interest Rates Everything Is Going To Collapse

I do not believe that if we raise interest rates everything is going to be fine. I recognize that if we raise interest rates everything is going to collapse. (SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Bond Yields Are Moving Up

Another week when the Dollar remained relatively firmly bid, the Dollar Index closed just above 98. Gold is not really going down but its not really going up either. What is going up are bond yields, long-term bond yields just made a 4-month high with the 30-year yield at 2.55% and the 10-year Treasury yield just below 1.80% and this despite the fact that the economic news during the week, on balance, were generally weaker than expected.  (SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bnd ETF (JNK), iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), U.S. Treasuries, iShares iBoxx $ High Yid Corp Bond ETF (HYG))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Only Thing That Is Bad For Gold

The only thing that is bad for gold is if Janet Yellen goes Paul Volcker and really decides to jack interest rates up so that real interest interest rates spike up. That would be negative for gold. Just a quarter point interest rate hike? The inflation is going to be rising faster than any Fed rate hikes. The Federal Reserve is going to be behind the curve the entire time. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), Goldcorp (GG), NovaGold (NG), Hecla Mining (NL))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Gold: This Sell-Off Is A Buying Opportunity

I think this is a great buying opportunity. I think this sell-off in Gold is way overdue , in Silver as well. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), iShares Silver ETF (SLV), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

U.S. Election: Trump Won The Debate

Anybody that has objectively watched this debate is going to conclude that Trump won. I was pretty critic of Trump`s performance in the first debate and while I do not think this one was perfect, there were a couple of things I would have liked him today, I think he did about as good as a job he could have done. I think he has advanced his standings on this debate.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Gold: The False Narrative

People are still wedded to this narrative that the Federal Reserve is going to raise interest rates. Why?

Related Exchange Traded Funds: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Forex: British Pound Flash Crash, U.S. Dollar Risks

One of these days that is going to happen to the U.S. Dollar, and it is not a flash crash, it is going to be a real crash. But it shows you that major currencies can make big moves.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Markets: Gold, Economic Recovery & Fed Policy

I have been a buyer of Gold for a while and it is not because of uncertainty, it is because of things that I certain of. I am certain all this talk about a recovery is wrong. The recovery is an illusion, it is just a gigantic bubble. That is a thing that Donald Trump got right. This is a bubble and the Federal Reserve is scared of letting it pop, they are doing everything they can to keep blowing air into it.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Bond Market Is Going To Blow Up

Eventually the bond market is going to blow up and the Federal Reserve is going to lose control of the long end because pretty soon the bond market is going to figure out that weak economic news is bad for bonds because it means more money printing, more inflation and that is the real enemy of the bond market, the debasement of the currency, the loss of purchasing power and that bond bubble is going to burst. But I think the U.S. Dollar bubble will burst first and take the bond bubble down with it.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Federal Reserve: Their Game Plan Is To Lower Rates Again

I think the Federal Reserve is going to do everything it can to keep interest rates artificially low. It has to start by pretending that it can raise interest rates but their game plan is to lower them again.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Higher Rates Will Be A Disaster For The Banks

Banks are trading up today because traders believe that higher interest rates are going to be good for the banks. They will not. They will be a disaster for the banks.  (Bank of America (BAC), citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC), Goldman Sachs (GS), Select Sector Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Why Gold Went Down 40 Dollars In One Day

Apparently people still think the Federal Reserve is serious about raising interest rates because you had Jeffrey Lacker coming out this morning and saying that the Federal Reserve needs to be preemptive when it comes to inflation fighting, not really wanting for it to heat up. This is really absurd because if the Federal Reserve wanted to be preemptive it would have raised years ago and they would now be much higher than they are.

Again, I think this is all talk. But apparently the markets have not figures this out yet and gold went down 40 dollars because it thinks the Federal Reserve is about to raise interest rates. (SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), Newmont Mining (NEM), Goldcorp (GG), Barrick Gold (ABX))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Federal Reserve: Alleged Case For An Interest Rate Hike Is Fading Fast

The Atlanta Federal Reserve has just lowered its third quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) estimate to just 2.2 percent. That is down from an estimate of 3.8 percent a month ago. This means that the Federal Reserve alleged case for an interest rate hike is fading fast!

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

2017: Certainly A Recession Year

2017 should certainly be a recession year officially. Again, I still think that after the election we could get some official downward revisions to prior GDP numbers that would officially date the beginning of this recession to sometime in 2016 but the last thing the Government wants to do is to acknowledge that fact before the election.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The U.S Economy Is Getting Weaker And Weaker

We are already decelerating, we are already going downhill. We have already passed the peak of economic expansion. We are contracting and we are either nearing recession or already in one. But the longer we go in time the weaker the economy is going to get.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

U.S. Economy: Inflation & Economic Growth

Inflation does not cause economic growth and economic growth does not cause inflation. Governments cause inflation by creating money and economic growth comes from savings and investing. And how do you get savings and investment? You have sound money, low inflation, you have few regulations, you have low taxes, you have limited government. That is what grows an economy.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Real Reason Why The Fed Is Not Raising Interest Rates

This is in fact a economic recession wether or not anybody wants to acknowledge it. That is why the Federal Reserve is not raising interest rates.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

What The Federal Reserve Is Really Doing

Everybody still thinks that this is serious. They still don`t get what is actually going on that the Federal Reserve is not going to raise interest rates but they cannot admit that so they keep pretending.

By the time December rolls around the probability of a December hike will be way down and of course the probability of a March hike will be much higher because every time the Fed does not raise rates the markets believe a rate hike is coming. Why? Because the federal Reserve keeps talking about the possibility of raising interest rates but never actually doing it.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Fed Meeting: A Dollar Negative Event

I think this is a dollar negative event. I think this is a gold friendly event. remember the last time the Federal reserve raised interest rates everybody thought the gold would tank and instead it market the bottom and had a huge rally. People thought the Dollar would rise and it went the other way.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Federal Reserve: Why Would They Want To Take A Chance Of Raising Interest Rates Today?

Why would they want to take a chance of raising interest rates today knowing, (A) how weak the data is, (B) knowing that the markets could tank as a result of that rate hike. That is the last thing they want. Then what are they going to do? How are they going to reverse the decline?

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Dollar Will Take The Bond Bubble With It

Eventually when the U.S. Dollar bubble bursts it is going to take the bond market with it and this bubble economy is going to implode. Then the economic events of 2008 will look like a Sunday school picnic.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

The Federal Reserve May Start Buying Corporate Bonds And Stocks Next

We are going to get negative interest rates, we are going to get quantitative easing and the Fed will not only be buying bonds and mortgage backed securities, they will start buying corporate bonds, they might buy municipal bonds, they even might buy stocks.  What knows what they are going to monetize.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

We Will Get Negative Interest Rates And More QE

What caused the big rally in the U.S. Dollar was the belief that the QE and zero percent interest rates were successful that the Federal Reserve was going to end the program and it was the anticipation of the tightening, of the normalization of interest rates, of the shrinking of the Fed`s balance sheet, that was what built the rally in the U.S. Dollar. But that was false.

As people figure out that they cannot normalize interest rates, they cannot shrink the balance sheet. In fact their balance sheet is going to grow again and not only are they not going to normalize interest rates, they are going to bring them back to zero. In fact this time zero is not going to be low enough. They will go negative. We will get negative interest rates and QE.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Markets: No Matter What Happens We Are Pretty Much Screwed

Its a problem if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates but they also acknowledged that it is a bigger problem if the Federal Reserve does not raise interest rates. If they raise interest rates they prick the bubble, if they don`t raise interest rates the bubble gets bigger and eventually it pops. So no matter what happens we are pretty much screwed.

(Select Sector Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF), SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bnd ETF (JNK), SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Hedge Fund Managers Criticize The Federal Reserve

There was this conference in New York this week, the Delivering Alpha conference and there was a lot of coverage in the press because a lot of high profile hedge fund billionaires were speaking very negatively about the Federal Reserve.

What they were saying was that the Fe`s policy of zero percent interest rates and quantitative easing have been a failure, that they had not delivered the economic growth that was promised, that actually they undermined economic growth and undermined capital investment and as a result of what the Fed has done the economy has grown less than it would have had they not done it.

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

All It Takes To Collapse The Markets

Just the mere possibility of a minuscule interest rate hike (0.25%) is all it takes to collapse this stock market. (SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ), Nasdaq 100 Futures)

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Fed: U-Turn On A Rate Hike Possibility

Clearly the 400 point decline in the Dow Jones Industrials Index on Friday showed that the market was not really very friendly to the possibility of an interest rate hike, let alone the certainty of one. Just the mere possibility however remote that possibility may be spooked the markets. So the Federal Reserve on Monday had the chance to dial it back. they had three Fed Presidents speaking on Monday and none talked about the possibility of a rate hike. (SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.

Central Banks Are Scaring The Markets

It is not just the Federal Reserve because Draghi in the press conference was asked about what are he was going to do when this QE program ends (and it is scheduled to end in the beginning of 2017) and he basically said that they do not have any plans to do more QE.

We also had some similar statements coming from the Bank of Japan to the extent that they are not going to do anything more and this is scaring the markets because the markets have been riding a sea of liquidity from all over the world. (Nikkei 225 Index, SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY), Nasdaq 100 Futures, Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ), iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM))

Peter Schiff is an American businessman, investment broker and financial commentator. Schiff is the CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc.