Ethereum Has Lost Better Than 90 Percent Of Its Peak Value

Ethereum, the third largest crypto currency by market cap, just broke below 100 dollars per coin. Having trading near 1400 dollars per coin in January of this year.

Ethereum has lost better than 90 percent of its peak value. But it can easily drop by another 90 percent to return to its January 2017 price!

Real Estate Prices Are About To Drop

Now, I think with the stock market finally starting to go down, real estate prices are about to drop. They haven't fallen yet but if you look at supply, the supply is swelling of unsold homes that nobody is buying and that's exactly what happened in 2006, 2007. Before the prices went down the supply went up because people who have houses on the market they're kind of reluctant to drop their prices. They don't want to recognize where the reality is so the houses just sit on the market unsold. We have the biggest glut of unsold homes, new homes since 2007.

Markets: Gold Is Going Ballistic

A recent article from Mr. Schiff on how gold can go much higher from current levels: Peter Schiff: When Everything Blows, Gold Is Going Ballistic

Federal Reserve: Unwinding The Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is still north of four trillion so they've tapered it a little bit ,I think a couple hundred billion. Interest rates are rising and the Federal Reserve still has an enormous balance sheet and according to what they've been saying they're about to start increasing the monthly draw and and that is gonna put even more pressure on the bond market especially since we are printing record budget deficits.

We're now borrowing over a hundred billion a month and the official numbers don't even capture that because so much of the budget is off budget. But it doesn't matter, they still have to issue the bonds to finance the off budget spending.

So what's important is how much the national debt is going up, how much bonds are actually being sold and so we've got record budget deficits and now we've got the Federal Reserve that wants to sell and the bigger problem is who's buying?

The Next Round Of QE Will Send Gold To New All-Time Highs

Everybody thinks quantitative easing is over what they don't realize is it's barely begun the next round is gonna be bigger than the first three and that's really what's gonna send gold to new highs.

Related trading tickers:

• SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)
• Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), 
• Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)
• Newmont Mining (NEM)
• Barrick Gold (ABX)
• Kinross Gold Corporation (USA) (NYSE:KGC)

Why Investors Are Wrong About Gold

Gold has really been an asset that has been under owned for many years. I think you have too many people that are convinced that the central banks know what they're doing and that they've solved all of our problems and that there's no inflation, that there's nothing to worry about and therefore there's no reason to own gold. Gold is just a piece of metal and why own it right, it doesn't throw off any income? But of course people are completely wrong.

Stock Market: This Is A Bubble Deflating

Peter Schiff comments on the current situation in the US stock market.

This Is A Bear Market

I've been calling for a bear market and I think this is a bear market and if we get a rally that will be the correction because the primary trend is now down. This is early in this bear market, it's very young and unfortunately it's going to be very long-lived.

I think this is going to be similar if not worse than the bear market that went from 1966 to 1982. It took 16 years for the Dow to make a new high and during that time period inflation took about 70 percent away from the Dow's value. This time I think it's going to be worse.

Apple (AAPL) Now in a Bear Market

"But there was some other particularly bad news that came in before the opening bell, and that one was from Apple (AAPL). They said they will be cutting production because of lower sales. That decision trickles down, effecting a lot of companies who count on those orders from Apple (AAPL). The price of Apple (AAPL) is down by 4% on the day. But if you now look at the total drop - just over 20% - and that means the way Wall Street scores it, Apple is now in a bear market." 

- excerpt from the Peter Schiff Show, Episode 415, The Confidence Bubble Has Popped

In The Short Run Gold & Silver Are Going Way Up

I don't think that (price manipulation) is the primary reason that the price of gold and silver have been going down. I don't think it's just manipulation. I think people just are completely clueless with respect to what's actually going on in the world. They don't understand the US economy, they do not  understand the Federal Reserve but they're about to get a rude awakening and the smart money is buying gold whether it's being manipulated or not in the short run both and silver are both going way up in the long run and the long run may be here much sooner than people think.

Smart Money Is Buying Precious Metals

Bitcoin: Capitulation Is A Long Way Off

If you think Bitcoin falling to $5,200 constitutes capitulation, think again. Very few, if any HODLers have actually thrown in the towel.

Capitulation is a long way off and will come at much lower prices and with far less fanfare, as CNBC will have long since abandon coverage!

Stock Market: Many Sectors Already In Bear Market Territory

The retailers are all gonna be in a bear market relatively soon, some of them of course already are. They're just blown up left and right but if these key sectors are going into bear markets like the financials then what is the odds that the entire market doesn't go into a bear market? 

This is a case of absolute and complete denial.

(audio excerpt from the Peter Schiff Podcast, Ep. 413: Investors Oblivious as Multiple Bubbles Pop)

Goldman Sachs (GS) In Bear Market Territory. Other Financials Will Follow

Look at the financials. Goldman Sachs (GS) is now down about 27 percent from its high so it is officially in a bear market.

(If Goldman) it's in a bear market what are the odds that the rest of the sector isn't gonna follow the lead of Goldman Sachs (GS)? I would say pretty slim. So, clearly the financials are gonna be in a bear market (and) they're gonna join other sectors that are already in a bear market like housing.

(audio excerpt from the Peter Schiff Podcast, Ep. 413: Investors Oblivious as Multiple Bubbles Pop) 

Apple (AAPL) Stock Is In Bear Market Territory

Look at some of the big stocks that are selling off. Apple (AAPL) down again today down 2.7 percent on the day but now Apple is finally in a bear market. It's now down better than 20 percent from the highs - so what's the odds that now that Apple is in a bear market that the rest of the market isn't going to follow?

Weakness On Housing Stocks

The biggest canary (just another one of those dead canaries that these miners are ignoring) is what's going on in the housing stocks. We got more bad news on housing this week you got no warning going forward from DR Horton I think the stock was down 10 percent.

Stock Market: The Gains From The Midterms Rally Will Be Surrendered

I thought that relief rally was just another dead cat bounce that the fundamentals and the technicals still looked horrible for the US stock market I expected that rally to reverse and of course that process has already begun Thursday and Friday I think it will continue next week and I think the rest of those gains will be surrendered.

Real Estate: The Entire Market Is Going To Blow Up

I think that mortgage applications are going to go a lot lower. I think the entire market is pretty much gonna blow up and a good example of what's coming was the earnings that came out today from Zillow.

Zillow stock was down almost 27% on the day it actually closed just below $30 a share. The high this year was $65.70 so obviously the price of Zillow has been more than cut in half since this summer and I remember specifically on this podcast criticizing a move that Zillow made that is partially responsible for the plunging stock price.

What Zillow decided to do was actually go into the business of flipping real estate. They were not just gonna provide a platform for people to list their homes and for realtors to prospect for clients and all that, they actually were gonna get into the housing market by buying houses themselves and then listing them for sale. So, basically kind of like market making in homes, trying to pick up bargains and then sell their own houses on Zillow rather than simply act as a middleman. And I said this was a very risky move for Zillow to be making at a very bad time when you had the housing market topping, when you had mortgage rates rising.

I said this was a huge mistake, an indicative of a top and that is exactly what's happening. In fact if you look at their earnings, Zillow has bought a lot more houses than they've been able to sell so they now have a huge inventory of houses that they own, that they're trying to unload and of course they're not going to be able to do it because the buyers are just not there.

This Is Going To Be A Protracted Bear Market

This is going to be a protracted bear market like the one we had from 1966 to 1982 with 16 years without a new stock market high.The cost of living back then went up dramatically, and it’s going to rise even more dramatically during this secular bear market.

A Bubble Economy, A Brutal Recession & Interest Rates

Peter Schiff was active this week commenting the recent action in the markets. Here's a snapshot of the most interesting articles:

Peter Schiff: The Truth Is We Don't Have A Booming Economy; We Have A Bubble

Peter Schiff: The Recession That's Coming Is Going To Be Brutal (Video) 

Stock market will collapse with Fed raising interest rates: Peter Schiff (in Fox Business)

$5000 Gold Prices Could Be In Our Very Near Future

General Electric (GE) Is Less Valuable When It Can't Pay A Dividend

General Electric (GE) closed at $10.10 down 8 cents and it made a new multi-year low. It's the first time it's been below ten dollars in 8 or 9 years. The reason that GE got clobbered by 9 percent yesterday was because they had announced the evening before that they were eliminating their dividend and so obviously GE is a lot less valuable when it can't pay a dividend.

This Rally Is A Correction In A Bear Market

The fact that there is no fear to me shows that it's more likely that this is not the end of the correction but the beginning of the bear market and that this rally is the correction. In bull markets, the market going down is a correction because the trend is still positive, still up - well, in a bear market it's the opposite the rallies are the corrections.

The Biggest Decline In A Month For The Nasdaq Since 2008

The US stock markets closed higher today for the second consecutive day for the first time in the month of October and a lot of traders are probably happy that the month of October is over. Despite the back-to-back rally this is still the biggest decline in a month for the Nasdaq since 2008!

The Next Time The Fed Lowers Rates To Zero, The Dollar Will Collapse

President Trump claims that if he had zero percent interest rates the "strong" U.S. economy would be even stronger. He should be careful what he wishes for, as the next time the Fed lowers rates to zero, the dollar will collapse, taking the bond market and the economy down with it!

This Bear Market Is Not Going To End Quickly

Peter Schiff on Fox Business (Oct 29, 2018)

"The Federal Reserve should raise interest rates but the markets will collapse as a result. This bear market is not going to end quickly like the one in 1987. This will be a protracted bear market like the one we had from 1966 to 1982."

Nasdaq: Worst Monthly Decline Since The Financial Crisis

We still have three trading days left in the month of October and the Nasdaq is on pace to its worst monthly decline since the 2008 financial crisis and yet everybody thinks there's no problem!

Stock Market: The Downtrend Is Intact

Some of the highlights from the Peter Schiff Podcast, ep. 402.

Peter mentioned that the Russell 2000 Index is already in correction territory,

"The Russell 2000 is actually down about 14 percent from its highs so it's now officially in a correction."

Peter also mentioned that yesterday's rally had all the characteristics of a short covering rally and that the down trend in stocks in very likely still intact,

"To me this looked like a classic reversal Tuesday type of rally, one of the reversal Tuesday's where you gap way down and then just rally throughout the day The rally did not produce a positive close so it was not a technically significant rally. In fact, I think the downtrend is intact. To me, it looked like a lot of short-covering was going."

Financials are an example of weakness in the U.S. stock market,

"If you look at the financials for example all those stocks continued to go down closing in the red rallied off the lows but no substantial rallies."

The Box That The Federal Reserve Has Placed Itself In

That's exactly the choice that the Federal Reserve is going to have to make. Next time they're going to have to raise interest rates into a weak economy. 

In fact, they're gonna have to raise interest rates into a financial crisis, into a depression and if they don't do it we're gonna have something even worse, we're going to have hyperinflation. 

That is the box that unfortunately the Federal Reserve has placed itself in based on years and years of this monetary policy.

Stock Market: What's Happened Thus Far During The Month

Look at what's happened thus far during the month of October, which I had been warning on my podcast, looked like there could be a weak October given where we were in the market, given how ridiculous the sentiment was in the face of overwhelming evidence that the economy was in fact weakening.

If you look at the numbers the Dow Jones Industrials Average (DJIA) is down 3.8 percent so far on the month. That's the best performing of the averages. The S&P 500 Index is down about 4.7 percent on the month, the Nasdaq Composite is down 7.4 percent, the DJ Transports down 8.3 percent and the Russell 2000 shows a 9.2 percent decline.

September Existing Home Sales Plunged The Most In 2 Years

September existing home sales plunged the most in 2 years, extending the streak of consecutive monthly declines to six. Homebuilding stocks are hitting 52-week lows, registering their worst year since 2008. If housing is this bad during the boom, imagine what happens after the bust!

Bear Market Rallies Try To Create A False Sense Of Confidence

Corrections or bear markets have rallies. So, maybe this 500-point move up in the Dow Jones Industrials Average (DJIA) is the first upward correction in the new bear market. 

There's no way to say that we have not entered a bear market. It's possible that it will be a bear market, you can't call it a bear market now even though maybe 25% of the stocks are in bear market territory. The majority are not but it's only a question of time. There are a lot of stocks that are down quite a bit but just not enough to be a bear market. 

But remember some of the most spectacular moves that you're gonna see to the upside in a market happen in bear markets. Historically the biggest up days have been in bear markets and that is to try to create a false sense of confidence a false sense of hope.

A Bear Market And A Recession

More important that a bear market it's a recession. I mean this is a bubble not just in the stock market but in the entire economy! So, the Federal Reserve has distorted more than just markets and the problem is this recession is going to be far more painful and far deeper than the one that we had  in 2008/09 because it's also going to be accompanied by rising consumer prices. I think as Americans lose their jobs they're gonna see the cost of living going up rather dramatically and so this is going to make it particularly painful.

What Happens Next In 47 Words

1. Bear market;

2. Recession;

3. Deficits explode;

4. Return of ZIRP and QE;

5. Dollar tanks;

6. Gold soars;

7. CPI spikes;

8. Long-term rates rise;

9. Federal Reserve is forced to hike rates during recession

10. A financial crisis without stimulus or bailouts!

The Recession Is Obviously Coming

Recent article on Seeking Alpha.com: "Peter Schiff: The Recession Is Obviously Coming"

All Bear Markets Start Off As Corrections

“All bear markets start off as corrections. I think this one is probably a bear market. It’s long overdue. This is a bigger bubble than the one that blew up in 2008, and the crisis that is going to ensue is going to be far larger.” - in RT.com

It's Not Trump's Trade Policies That Are Going To Cause The Crash

It's not Trump's trade policies that are going to cause the crash, the crash was happening anyway. In fact Donald Trump gave a speech today and he said that when he was elected President or before he was elected the economy was on a verge of a collapse and he was right. But now it's on the verge of an even bigger collapse because all Donald Trump did was blow more air into Obama's bubble or more accurately the Federal Reserve's bubble.

Video: Rising Rates Crash Stocks

Peter Schiff was recently on RT.com to explain the recent turmoil in the U.S. stock market.

Video: Market Selloff (FOX Business)

Peter Schiff’s recent appearance on Fox Business to talk about the recent market turmoil: "Like all sequels, the next financial crisis will be worse." - Peter Schiff

The Price of Gold Finally Woke Up

"The real standout today in the market was gold right the price of gold finally woke up or traders woke up and noticed how cheap gold is and it rose by about $30 today back over 1220."

- Peter Schiff, Ep. 399: "Gold Breaks Out, Bitcoin Breaks Down" of the Peter Schiff Podcast

Stocks: A True Bear Market

"Everything is going down and so now I think the stealth bear market that started earlier in the year is now becoming a true bear market. Of course, nobody thinks so. Everybody that I'm listening to is talking that it's just a correction in a bull market."

- Peter Schiff, Ep. 399: "Gold Breaks Out, Bitcoin Breaks Down" of the Peter Schiff Podcast

Markets: Stocks & Bonds

"If we get stocks going up then interest rates are gonna go back up which is gonna scare the market."

- Peter Schiff, Ep. 399: "Gold Breaks Out, Bitcoin Breaks Down" of the Peter Schiff Podcast

It's Not A Normal Bull Market Correction

Everybody is talking about how this is just a normal correction in a normal bull market. Well, first of all there's nothing normal about this bull market, right? This bull market is already the longest bull market ever. So based on duration it ain't normal. Also based on all the stimulus that was required to create it, all the quantitative easing, the years of 0% interest rates, there is nothing normal about this bull market. If anything it's a bubble, it's not just a bull market and of course if it's not a normal bull market then why would it have a normal correction, right?

My Feeling About The Stock Market Was Confirmed

My feeling about the stock market was confirmed today with a 831 point drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 3.15%. This is the biggest decline that the Dow has had since that 1000-plus point drop that we had in February. I think it's maybe the third biggest down day ever point-wise.

Week Stocks Beneath The Surface

If you look at some of the sectors that continue to get beat up making new 52 week lows so even though the headlines are probably gonna be about the Dow Jones Industrials Average (DJIA) making another all-time record high, beneath the surface are a lot of stocks that are having a lot of problems.

Italy Is Putting Pressure On The Euro Currency

The Italian market is under a lot of pressure because the Italian government is running deficits that exceed the two percent guidelines imposed by the Eurozone. I think they're proposed new budget deficit is 2.4 percent of Italian GDP and so this is putting pressure on Italy which is all so putting pressure on the euro currency.

We've Had Some Substantial Stock Market Declines In October

We have had some substantial stock market declines in October. Obviously, not every October has a big drop, in fact, most of the October's don't but some of the most notable declines have incurred in the month of October including the crash of 1987 and the crash of 1929. But given that our valuations are probably higher now than they were at those prior peaks you would think that there'd be more concern right now about the possibility of another October surprise in the way of a major decline in the stock market.

U.S. Economy: Soft Landing or Crash Landing?

It's not like the Fed is gonna finally see a small reaction to one rate hike that will enable them to quickly reverse course and engineer this soft landing that everybody likes to talk about. The minute there is a problem from the rate hikes it's gonna be a crash landing. There's going to be no opportunity to try to soft land this thing because as soon as it goes down it's going to come crashing down even if the Fed immediately goes from whatever they've raised rates to, to zero and launches another round of quantitative easing it's not going to be in time to stop the damage.

Federal Reserve: The Removal of the Word "Accommodative"

The only thing that was significant or potentially significant about this interest rate hike was the removal of the word accommodative by the Federal Reserve in their official statement to describe the current state of monetary conditions or monetary policy.

Now, I initially thought that was a significant removal of a word obviously the Federal Reserve thinks very carefully about the written statements and so if they chose to remove a word that was there and they know that people parsed through these words with a microscope and so the fact that the word was missing and obviously it's missing by intention it wasn't just an accident that they're trying to send a message and what I first thought the message was and I still believe that was the Federal Reserve views a two percent interest rate as neither accommodative or restrictive but maybe neutral. The Federal Reserve now believes that interest rates are high enough that they would no longer be described as accommodative.

Treasury Yields: The Chart Looks Ominous

Look at the bond market, yields on the 10-year and on the 30-year were up again today. We haven't completely broken down yet but to me the chart looks ominous I mean there is the potential for a big break in the bond market: drop in price, up in yield above 3.50% in the 10-year maybe above 4.00% in the 30-year in the short run.